Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Dallas Mavericks v Brooklyn Nets

2026-11-09 00:40 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

68 corredores (22 en el análisis )

73%

27%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Dallas Mavericks (Local)

Predicción 72.60%1.38momio equitativo

EV -1.26%

Ventaja -0.925%

Kelly -3.49%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

70.11%72.56%72.54%74.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.241.311.311.3680.65%76.08%76.34%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Brooklyn Nets (Visitante)

Predicción 27.40%3.65momio equitativo

EV +2.18%

Ventaja +0.586%

Kelly +0.800%

Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

25.55%27.44%27.46%29.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

3.003.413.453.7333.33%29.31%28.99%26.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Dallas Mavericks (Local): 72.60%; Brooklyn Nets (Visitante): 27.40%. Para Brooklyn Nets (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.65. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.73, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.18%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (68 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
Pinnacle🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%	3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV +2.18%E +0.586%K +0.800%G +0.017%	3.1%	2026-11-08 16:40
Fliff🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.36%E +0.368%K +0.505%G +0.007%	4.5%	2026-11-08 13:20
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.79%E -6.14%K -28.86%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +1.36%E +0.368%K +0.505%G +0.007%	5.8%	2026-11-08 14:50
1xBet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-08 13:24
Bovada🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -4.16%E -3.15%K -13.01%G +0.000%	3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV -0.555%E -0.153%K -0.211%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-11-08 13:20
DraftKings🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%	3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -1.10%E -0.305%K -0.422%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-08 13:20
BetMGM🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.38%E -0.382%K -0.529%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-08 13:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.38%E -0.382%K -0.529%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-08 14:49
GTbets🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.38%E -0.382%K -0.529%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-08 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.38%E -0.382%K -0.529%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-08 13:20
Everygame🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.38%E -0.382%K -0.529%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-08 13:19
Fanatics🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.38%E -0.382%K -0.529%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-08 13:24
BetAnything🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.75%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-08 13:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-08 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-08 14:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-08 13:20
BetUS🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-08 16:30
Coolbet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.16%E -3.15%K -13.01%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.16%E -3.15%K -13.01%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 15:45
TAB🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.16%E -3.15%K -13.01%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 13:20
Caesars🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-08 13:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-08 13:19
PlayUp🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-08 14:45
888sport🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-08 14:15
William Hill🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-08 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-08 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-08 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.07%E -5.52%K -25.24%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-08 13:15
Coral🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.07%E -5.52%K -25.24%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-08 13:18
NordicBet🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -8.52%E -6.76%K -32.76%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-11-08 13:15
Betsson🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -8.52%E -6.76%K -32.76%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-11-08 13:15
ReBet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.35%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000%	3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -4.66%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-08 14:49
Neds🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.16%E -3.15%K -13.01%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-08 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.16%E -3.15%K -13.01%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-08 13:15
Bet Right🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-08 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000%	3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -6.31%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 14:20
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 15:50
Bet Victor🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.16%E -3.15%K -13.01%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-08 14:53
betano_uk🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.16%E -3.15%K -13.01%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-08 14:50
betfred_uk🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-08 14:49
FanDuel🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -2.71%E -2.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-08 14:50
Codere (IT)🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-08 14:53
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.83%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%	3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-08 14:50
SportsBet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%	3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -8.77%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-08 14:50
picklebet_au🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-08 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.79%E -6.14%K -28.86%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-11-08 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.26%E -0.925%K -3.49%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.26%E -0.925%K -3.49%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.26%E -0.925%K -3.49%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.26%E -0.925%K -3.49%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 16:05
BetRivers🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-08 16:05
Unibet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-08 16:05
betPARX🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-08 16:04
Bally Bet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-08 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.71%E -2.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-08 16:05
TABtouch🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.71%E -2.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-08 15:50
Paddy Power🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-08 14:23
Sky Bet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-08 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-08 14:20
BoyleSports🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-08 14:24
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -9.97%E -8.04%K -41.54%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-11-08 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.71%E -2.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-08 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-08 16:05
PMU (FR)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 70.62%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -15.07%E -4.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-11-08 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%EV -7.07%E -5.52%K -25.24%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -15.07%E -4.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-11-08 14:50
LeoVegas🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -16.44%E -5.39%K -8.02%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-11-08 14:54
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -7.79%E -6.14%K -28.86%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -17.81%E -5.94%K -8.91%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-11-08 14:49

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Novig◎	1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%	0.6%	2026-11-08 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%	3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%	0.7%	2026-11-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%	3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%	0.7%	2026-11-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%	3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%	0.7%	2026-11-08 17:00
ProphetX◎	1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%	3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%	0.9%	2026-11-08 17:00
Polymarket◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%	1.1%	2026-11-08 17:00
Kalshi◎	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%	1.2%	2026-11-08 16:20
Smarkets◎	1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%	1.7%	2026-11-08 17:00
Matchbook◎	1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%	2.2%	2026-11-08 16:55

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