La escuela de los momios

Cleveland Cavaliers v Detroit Pistons

Inicio: 2026-05-15 23:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Cavaliers 94–115 Detroit Pistons

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Predicción 60.47%1.65momio equitativo
EV -0.217%
Ventaja -0.132%
Kelly -0.335%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%60.39%60.44%62.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.571.571.6568.03%63.82%63.69%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Pistons (Visitante)

Predicción 39.53%2.53momio equitativo
EV +0.791%
Ventaja +0.310%
Kelly +0.510%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.80%39.61%39.56%41.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.442.452.5544.44%41.00%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +0.791%E +0.310%K +0.510%G +0.004%2.9%2026-05-15 23:04
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +0.791%E +0.310%K +0.510%G +0.004%3.7%2026-05-15 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +0.791%E +0.310%K +0.510%G +0.004%3.7%2026-05-15 23:10
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +0.791%E +0.310%K +0.510%G +0.004%3.7%2026-05-15 23:10
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +0.791%E +0.310%K +0.510%G +0.004%3.7%2026-05-15 23:10
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -0.790%E -0.315%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-15 23:07
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.64%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.19%E -0.474%K -0.790%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 23:10
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.19%E -0.474%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.19%E -0.474%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 23:10
Betr (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.19%E -0.474%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 23:10
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.19%E -0.474%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 23:10
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.19%E -0.474%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:10
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.19%E -0.474%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:10
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.19%E -0.474%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:10
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.19%E -0.474%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:10
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.19%E -0.474%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 23:10
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -1.58%E -0.635%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 23:10
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.98%E -0.797%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.98%E -0.797%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:10
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.98%E -0.797%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:10
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.98%E -0.797%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.47%E -4.89%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.98%E -0.797%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.37%E -0.960%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:59
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.64%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-15 23:10
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.64%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-15 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.64%E -1.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-15 23:10
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.85%E -2.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 23:10
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.45%E -2.82%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 23:10
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:10
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:10
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 22:59
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 23:01
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.47%E -4.89%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.47%E -4.89%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 23:10
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.47%E -4.89%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.47%E -4.89%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 23:10
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.85%E -2.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.95%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 23:10
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -3.95%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 23:10
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:10
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -8.68%E -5.75%K -17.03%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -4.35%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-15 23:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.24%E -2.03%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 23:10
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.24%E -2.03%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.85%E -2.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 23:10
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 23:10
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.45%E -2.82%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:10
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.45%E -2.82%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:10
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 23:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 22:59
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 23:10
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 22:59
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 22:59
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -11.10%E -7.55%K -23.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 23:10
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.24%E -2.03%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:10
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 23:10
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -0.217%E -0.132%K -0.335%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -0.822%E -0.501%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:10
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.42%EV -10.28%E -4.53%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 23:06
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-15 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-15 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-15 23:10
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-15 23:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-15 23:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-15 23:10
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.63%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.37%1.2%2026-05-15 23:10
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-05-15 23:10
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%2.0%2026-05-15 22:59
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-05-15 23:10