La escuela de los momios

Cleveland Cavaliers v Atlanta Hawks

Inicio: 2026-04-08 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Predicción 60.45%1.65momio equitativo
EV -0.250%
Ventaja -0.151%
Kelly -0.384%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%60.41%60.71%62.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.581.581.6566.23%63.24%63.29%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Hawks (Visitante)

Predicción 39.55%2.53momio equitativo
EV +2.42%
Ventaja +0.935%
Kelly +1.52%
Crecimiento +0.037%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.19%39.59%39.29%41.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.412.402.5944.44%41.54%41.67%38.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV +2.42%E +0.935%K +1.52%G +0.037%2.7%2026-04-08 23:00
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.71%E -5.77%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.841%E +0.330%K +0.542%G +0.005%5.4%2026-04-08 23:09
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV +0.050%E +0.020%K +0.033%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-08 23:09
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.27%E -2.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.346%E -0.137%K -0.227%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-08 22:45
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -0.346%E -0.137%K -0.227%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 23:10
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -0.741%E -0.295%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-08 22:59
Everygame1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.14%E -0.455%K -0.758%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-08 22:44
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.14%E -0.455%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 22:49
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.14%E -0.455%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 22:50
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.14%E -0.455%K -0.758%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.11%E -5.33%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.14%E -0.455%K -0.758%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 23:00
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -1.53%E -0.615%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 22:49
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -2.32%E -0.940%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 23:00
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-08 22:55
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 23:10
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 22:40
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.30%E -4.06%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -2.72%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 22:50
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 22:40
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 22:50
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 23:08
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 22:44
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 23:10
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 22:40
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 22:45
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 22:45
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 22:59
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.30%E -4.06%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 22:55
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 23:10
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.90%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 22:40
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -0.250%E -0.151%K -0.384%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-08 22:49
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 22:40
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.27%E -2.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 22:45
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.09%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 22:55
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 22:59
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 22:59
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 22:59
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.88%E -2.47%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.28%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 22:40
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.28%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 22:40
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.28%E -2.65%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 23:04
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 22:54
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 22:55
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 22:55
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 22:55
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.27%E -2.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 22:59
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.27%E -2.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 23:00
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.27%E -2.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 23:00
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.27%E -2.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -5.09%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -7.86%E -3.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 23:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.05%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 21:45
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.05%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 20:49
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.05%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 20:50
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.05%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 20:50
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.05%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 22:59
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.27%E -2.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.05%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 23:10
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.27%E -2.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.05%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.48%E -2.84%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.05%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 22:59
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.05%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 22:59
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.05%E -3.93%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 23:08
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -11.02%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 22:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38%-0.2%2026-04-08 22:59
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-08 23:10
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-08 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-04-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-08 23:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-08 22:45
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-08 22:55
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-04-08 23:10
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-04-08 23:10