Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Bulls v Portland Trail Blazers

Inicio: 2026-02-27 01:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Bulls (Local)

Predicción 39.98%2.50momio equitativo
EV +1.95%
Ventaja +0.765%
Kelly +1.26%
Crecimiento +0.025%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.65%39.92%39.85%41.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.402.402.5544.44%41.69%41.67%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante)

Predicción 60.02%1.67momio equitativo
EV -0.968%
Ventaja -0.587%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.75%60.08%60.15%62.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.581.581.6565.36%63.20%63.29%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago Bulls (Local): 39.98%; Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante): 60.02%. Para Chicago Bulls (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.50. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.55, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.95%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.95%E +0.765%K +1.26%G +0.025%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 18:15
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV +0.752%E +0.298%K +0.495%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.2%2026-02-27 00:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.048%E -0.019%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 23:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.048%E -0.019%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 16:33
SportsBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -0.448%E -0.180%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 01:04
FanDuel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -0.847%E -0.342%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 00:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -1.65%E -0.670%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:39
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-27 00:30
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 00:44
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.05%E -0.835%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 00:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.45%E -1.00%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-27 00:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 00:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 00:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 00:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 00:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 00:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.85%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 00:59
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.25%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 00:44
DraftKings🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.25%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 00:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.65%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 00:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.65%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 00:34
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -0.968%E -0.587%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-02-27 00:48
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 00:39
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 00:39
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 00:44
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 00:29
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.17%E -3.27%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 01:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.17%E -3.27%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.17%E -3.27%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:50
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.17%E -3.27%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 00:49
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 01:04
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 00:44
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 00:49
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 00:44
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 00:44
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 00:59
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 00:54
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 00:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 00:49
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -0.968%E -0.587%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-02-27 00:54
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.85%E -2.04%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 01:04
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.85%E -2.04%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.85%E -2.04%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 00:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.25%E -2.21%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 00:29
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.25%E -2.21%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 00:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -5.25%E -2.21%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 00:50
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.968%E -0.587%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 00:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.17%E -1.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 00:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:39
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.77%E -1.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:44
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 01:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.77%E -3.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 00:59
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 00:39
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.37%E -2.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 00:59
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 01:00
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 01:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.57%E -2.87%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 01:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.04%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.17%E -3.27%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 00:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.04%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 01:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-02-27 01:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-02-27 01:04
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-02-27 01:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-02-27 01:04
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-02-27 00:34
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-02-27 01:05
Novig2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-02-27 01:05
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-02-27 01:04
BetOpenly2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.1%2026-02-27 00:59
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-02-27 01:05