La escuela de los momios

Chicago Bulls v Orlando Magic

Inicio: 2026-04-11 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Bulls (Local)

Predicción 11.40%8.77momio equitativo
EV +13.99%
Ventaja +1.40%
Kelly +1.55%
Crecimiento +0.217%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.58%11.54%11.27%14.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.258.288.2510.0016.00%12.08%12.12%10.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Orlando Magic (Visitante)

Predicción 88.60%1.13momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -2.31%
Kelly -25.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.15%88.46%88.73%90.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.041.081.081.1096.15%92.82%92.59%90.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.08%E -5.74%K -101.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 00:10
Marathon Bet9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +12.85%E +1.30%K +1.44%G +0.185%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -6.08%E -5.74%K -101.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 23:59
Fliff9.85I 10.15%NM 9.72%EV +12.28%E +1.25%K +1.39%G +0.170%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.28%EV -6.08%E -5.74%K -101.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 00:10
BetUS9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +5.44%E +0.588%K +0.659%G +0.036%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -5.20%E -4.86%K -74.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 00:09
BetAnything9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +5.44%E +0.588%K +0.659%G +0.036%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -5.20%E -4.86%K -74.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 00:10
Fanatics9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +2.59%E +0.287%K +0.323%G +0.008%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 00:10
DraftKings9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +2.59%E +0.287%K +0.323%G +0.008%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.20%E -4.86%K -74.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 00:09
Tipico (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.59%E +0.287%K +0.323%G +0.008%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.97%E -6.64%K -139.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 00:00
LowVig.ag8.81I 11.35%NM 11.01%EV +0.422%E +0.048%K +0.054%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.99%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 00:09
GTbets8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02%EV +0.308%E +0.035%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.98%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 00:09
SportsBet8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV -0.262%E -0.030%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 00:10
Coolbet8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV -0.262%E -0.030%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 00:08
BetMGM8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -0.262%E -0.030%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.20%E -4.86%K -74.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 00:09
Pinnacle8.64I 11.57%NM 11.20%EV -1.52%E -0.175%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.80%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 00:09
BetOnline.ag8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -2.66%E -0.311%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 00:10
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 00:10
Unibet (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 00:10
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 00:10
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 00:10
FanDuel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 00:10
Unibet (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 23:58
PointsBet (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 00:10
Betr (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 00:10
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 00:10
Hard Rock Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 00:01
Everygame8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.20%E -4.86%K -74.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 00:09
Dabble (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.20%E -4.86%K -74.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 00:09
theScore Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.20%E -4.86%K -74.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.08%E -5.74%K -101.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 00:10
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.08%E -5.74%K -101.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 00:10
NetBet (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.97%E -6.64%K -139.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 00:01
Bet Victor8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV -5.96%E -0.723%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 00:08
Ladbrokes (AU)8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -5.96%E -0.723%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 00:10
Neds8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -5.96%E -0.723%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 00:10
Unibet (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 00:03
Winamax (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 00:10
TAB8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:10
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:10
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:10
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:10
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:10
Codere (IT)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:01
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
NordicBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
Betsson8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
BetRivers8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
Bovada8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:10
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.20%E -4.86%K -74.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.20%E -4.86%K -74.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 00:10
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.20%E -4.86%K -74.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 00:10
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.08%E -5.74%K -101.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 23:59
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.08%E -5.74%K -101.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 23:59
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.08%E -5.74%K -101.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 23:59
MyBookie.ag7.85I 12.74%NM 12.09%EV -10.52%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.91%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.51%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 00:10
BoyleSports7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.51%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.20%E -4.86%K -74.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 00:00
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.51%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.08%E -5.74%K -101.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 00:10
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.21%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 00:10
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -20.21%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 00:09
Winamax (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.21%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 00:10
LeoVegas7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -20.21%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -7.85%E -7.55%K -196.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 00:10
Betclic (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -28.76%E -4.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 00:06
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly10.22I 9.78%NM 9.80%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.20%-0.1%2026-04-10 23:59
Polymarket11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%0.7%2026-04-11 00:10
Kalshi10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-04-11 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72%1.3%2026-04-11 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72%1.3%2026-04-11 00:10
ProphetX9.90I 10.10%NM 9.92%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.08%1.8%2026-04-11 00:10
Smarkets9.60I 10.42%NM 10.20%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.80%2.2%2026-04-11 00:10
Novig9.43I 10.60%NM 10.36%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.64%2.3%2026-04-11 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.58%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.42%2.8%2026-04-11 00:10