La escuela de los momios

Chicago Bulls v Milwaukee Bucks

Inicio: 2026-03-01 20:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Bulls (Local)

Predicción 44.48%2.25momio equitativo
EV -0.819%
Ventaja -0.367%
Kelly -0.666%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%44.50%44.30%45.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2350.00%46.48%46.51%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Bucks (Visitante)

Predicción 55.52%1.80momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.973%
Kelly -2.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.05%55.50%55.70%56.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.711.711.7760.98%58.44%58.48%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -0.819%E -0.367%K -0.666%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.61%E -3.30%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 20:09
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -0.819%E -0.367%K -0.666%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.61%E -3.30%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 20:09
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -0.819%E -0.367%K -0.666%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.61%E -3.30%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 20:09
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -0.819%E -0.367%K -0.666%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.61%E -3.30%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 20:09
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.71%E -0.773%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-01 20:04
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.15%E -0.979%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.05%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 20:09
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.15%E -0.979%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.72%E -4.00%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 20:09
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.15%E -0.979%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.72%E -4.00%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 20:09
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.15%E -0.979%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.72%E -4.00%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 20:09
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.15%E -0.979%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.72%E -4.00%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 20:09
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.15%E -0.979%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.27%E -4.36%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:24
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.15%E -0.979%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.27%E -4.36%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:24
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.15%E -0.979%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.27%E -4.36%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:24
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.94%E -2.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 19:24
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 20:14
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 20:34
Coolbet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -7.83%E -4.72%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 20:24
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.92%EV -3.49%E -1.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.08%EV -1.72%E -0.973%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-01 20:24
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.93%E -1.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.61%E -3.30%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 19:23
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 20:34
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.83%E -1.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 20:19
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 20:14
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 20:34
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 20:13
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 20:24
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 20:12
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 20:14
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 20:24
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 20:24
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.94%E -2.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 20:14
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 20:29
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 20:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.05%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 20:14
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.05%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 20:14
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.05%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 20:14
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.05%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 20:14
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.05%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 20:19
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.61%E -3.30%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:19
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.61%E -3.30%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 19:25
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.16%E -3.65%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 20:30
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.27%E -4.36%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:35
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.27%E -4.36%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.27%E -4.36%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:34
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.27%E -4.36%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:25
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -8.94%E -5.45%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 20:19
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.82%E -2.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 20:15
MyBookie.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.82%E -2.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 19:49
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.27%E -2.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 20:24
Unibet (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -5.27%E -2.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -7.83%E -4.72%K -11.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 20:19
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.71%E -2.69%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.38%E -5.08%K -12.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 20:15
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 20:29
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.39%E -1.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:24
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.94%E -2.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 19:34
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.94%E -2.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 20:19
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.05%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 20:29
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.05%E -2.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 20:34
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.61%E -3.30%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 20:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.61%E -3.30%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 20:20
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.83%E -1.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 20:34
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.83%E -1.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 20:34
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.50%E -2.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 20:29
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.05%E -5.52%K -11.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.61%E -3.30%K -8.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 20:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56%0.0%2026-03-01 20:29
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-03-01 20:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-03-01 20:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-03-01 20:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-03-01 20:29
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-01 20:20
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-03-01 20:35
ProphetX2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-03-01 20:34
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-03-01 20:34
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-03-01 20:34