La escuela de los momios

Charlotte Hornets v Portland Trail Blazers

Inicio: 2026-02-28 18:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Predicción 70.06%1.43momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -6.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%69.99%70.18%71.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.311.361.361.3976.34%73.67%73.53%71.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante)

Predicción 29.94%3.34momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.367%
Kelly -0.526%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.73%30.01%29.82%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.183.203.3033.90%31.49%31.25%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -2.61%E -1.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -4.80%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 18:09
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -2.61%E -1.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 18:09
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -2.61%E -1.88%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -7.80%E -2.53%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:59
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -3.31%E -2.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -1.81%E -0.552%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-28 18:09
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.31%E -2.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 18:09
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.31%E -2.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 18:09
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.31%E -2.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 18:09
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.31%E -2.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 18:10
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.31%E -2.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:09
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.31%E -2.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:09
Everygame1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -4.01%E -2.93%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.21%E -0.367%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 18:09
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.01%E -2.93%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.01%E -2.93%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 18:09
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.01%E -2.93%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 18:09
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.01%E -2.93%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 18:07
TAB1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.01%E -2.93%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 18:09
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.01%E -2.93%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 18:09
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.01%E -2.93%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 18:09
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 18:09
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 18:09
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 18:09
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -3.61%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:09
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:10
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:09
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:08
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:09
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:09
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:09
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:09
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:09
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:09
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:09
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:10
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 18:09
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 18:09
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.41%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.21%E -0.367%K -0.526%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 17:59
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:00
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 17:59
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.41%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:10
MyBookie.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -5.41%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -3.01%E -0.928%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 18:03
Dabble (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.41%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.41%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:09
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.41%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.41%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 18:09
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.41%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 18:09
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.82%E -5.12%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.21%E -0.367%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:09
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.12%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 18:00
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.12%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 17:59
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.12%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 18:09
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.12%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.12%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 17:59
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.82%E -5.12%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 18:07
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.82%E -5.12%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 18:10
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.82%E -5.12%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 18:09
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -7.52%E -5.69%K -23.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -11.69%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 18:08
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -8.22%E -6.27%K -26.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 18:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%-0.1%2026-02-28 17:59
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.98%3.31I 30.21%NM 30.02%0.6%2026-02-28 18:09
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-02-28 18:10
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-02-28 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-02-28 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-02-28 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-02-28 18:10
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-02-28 18:10
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-02-28 18:10
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-02-28 18:10