Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Charlotte Hornets v Orlando Magic

Início: 2026-03-19 23:12 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Previsão 66.25%1.51odd justa
EV -1.95%
Vantagem -1.32%
Kelly -4.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.07%66.31%66.31%68.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.441.441.4871.43%69.38%69.44%67.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Orlando Magic (Visitante)

Previsão 33.75%2.96odd justa
EV +2.94%
Vantagem +0.964%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescimento +0.042%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.46%33.69%33.69%34.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.652.822.803.0537.74%35.46%35.71%32.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Charlotte Hornets (Local): 66.25%; Orlando Magic (Visitante): 33.75%. Para Orlando Magic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.96. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.05, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.94%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +2.94%E +0.964%K +1.43%G +0.042%4.2%2026-03-19 23:08
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -0.435%E -0.148%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 23:03
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.435%E -0.148%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 22:50
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -2.61%E -1.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -1.11%E -0.379%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-19 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.12%E -0.732%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.12%E -0.732%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.12%E -0.732%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 22:59
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.46%E -0.851%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.80%E -0.972%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.80%E -0.972%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.80%E -0.972%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 22:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -3.47%E -1.21%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 22:19
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 21:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 22:58
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 23:10
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 23:00
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 14:24
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 22:56
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:00
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -1.95%E -1.32%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV -4.15%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-19 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -1.95%E -1.32%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -4.82%E -1.71%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 20:45
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -3.28%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.95%E -1.32%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 20:45
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.95%E -1.32%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 20:45
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.61%E -1.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.28%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:50
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.28%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:54
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:09
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 11:39
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:09
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 13:24
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 20:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 23:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 23:05
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 23:10
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 23:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -6.51%E -2.35%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:48
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 22:49
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:20
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 22:04
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 08:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.26%E -3.68%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 22:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.19%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 22:24
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -3.28%E -2.24%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -8.20%E -3.01%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -8.20%E -3.01%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 22:49
LeoVegas🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.59%E -4.67%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -5.93%E -4.17%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -10.56%E -3.99%K -6.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 23:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 67.18%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.82%-0.1%2026-03-19 22:59
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-03-19 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-03-19 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-03-19 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-03-19 23:09
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-03-19 23:10
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-19 23:00
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-03-19 22:49
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-19 23:09
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-03-19 23:00