Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Charlotte Hornets v Detroit Pistons

Inicio: 2026-04-10 23:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Predicción 64.81%1.54momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -5.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.29%64.83%64.71%66.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.461.471.5072.46%68.37%68.03%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Pistons (Visitante)

Predicción 35.19%2.84momio equitativo
EV +0.987%
Ventaja +0.344%
Kelly +0.528%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.72%35.17%35.29%36.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.742.752.8740.00%36.47%36.36%34.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Charlotte Hornets (Local): 64.81%; Detroit Pistons (Visitante): 35.19%. Para Detroit Pistons (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.84. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.87, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.987%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%EV -3.43%E -2.30%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%EV +0.987%E +0.344%K +0.528%G +0.005%2.0%2026-04-10 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +0.283%E +0.099%K +0.153%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +0.283%E +0.099%K +0.153%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +0.283%E +0.099%K +0.153%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +0.283%E +0.099%K +0.153%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.37%E -3.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.48%E -0.527%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 21:34
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.37%E -3.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.48%E -0.527%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.48%E -0.527%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.48%E -0.527%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 22:50
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.48%E -0.527%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 21:45
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.48%E -0.527%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.48%E -0.527%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 21:45
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.48%E -0.527%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.48%E -0.527%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 21:45
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.48%E -0.527%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 21:45
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.48%E -0.527%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 21:45
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.48%E -0.527%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 21:45
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%EV -2.18%E -0.784%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-10 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -2.18%E -0.784%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -2.18%E -0.784%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 22:25
Caesars🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -2.18%E -0.784%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 20:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -2.88%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-10 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.08%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.88%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-10 23:05
Everygame🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.43%E -2.30%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-10 20:50
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.08%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 16:49
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.08%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 22:42
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.08%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.08%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.08%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 19:35
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.08%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 22:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 17:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.37%E -3.68%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:05
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 23:05
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 17:10
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 22:55
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.32%E -5.12%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 21:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.61%E -6.11%K -21.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 21:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.29%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -4.08%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -4.64%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 13:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 23:00
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 23:05
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.43%E -2.30%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 22:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.08%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 17:15
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.08%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.08%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 17:29
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.08%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 19:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.97%E -5.61%K -18.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 22:50
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.08%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.75%E -2.55%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -10.56%E -7.65%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -6.75%E -2.55%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 21:45
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.46%E -2.84%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 23:05
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.51%E -3.27%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.51%E -3.27%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 12:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -12.03%E -4.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 23:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.53I 65.36%NM 65.38%2.89I 34.60%NM 34.62%-0.0%2026-04-10 22:54
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-04-10 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-04-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-04-10 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-04-10 22:55
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-10 23:05
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-10 21:54
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-04-10 23:05
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.2%2026-04-10 23:05
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.9%2026-04-10 23:05