Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Charlotte Hornets v Cleveland Cavaliers

Inicio: 2026-11-10 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

67 corredores (21 en el análisis )

27%

73%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Predicción 26.54%3.77momio equitativo

EV +11.46%

Ventaja +2.73%

Kelly +3.58%

Crecimiento +0.410%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

22.51%26.58%26.63%30.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.853.553.554.2035.09%28.17%28.17%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)

Predicción 73.46%1.36momio equitativo

EV -0.091%

Ventaja -0.067%

Kelly -0.254%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

69.84%73.42%73.37%77.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.171.291.301.3685.47%77.51%76.92%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Charlotte Hornets (Local): 26.54%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante): 73.46%. Para Charlotte Hornets (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.77. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.46%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (67 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
888sport (SE)🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +11.46%E +2.73%K +3.58%G +0.410%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -10.38%E -8.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-10 00:10
Coolbet🎯	4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV +7.48%E +1.85%K +2.45%G +0.183%	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -10.38%E -8.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-10 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.483%E -0.129%K -0.176%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.23%E -4.06%K -18.05%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-09 17:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.483%E -0.129%K -0.176%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.23%E -4.06%K -18.05%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-09 23:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.483%E -0.129%K -0.176%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.23%E -4.06%K -18.05%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-09 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯	3.74I 26.74%NM 25.79%EV -0.749%E -0.200%K -0.273%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.21%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-10 00:05
Pinnacle🎯	3.72I 26.88%NM 26.19%EV -1.28%E -0.344%K -0.470%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.81%EV -3.03%E -2.30%K -9.47%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-11-10 00:10
TAB🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.81%E -0.489%K -0.670%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-09 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.81%E -0.489%K -0.670%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-10 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.81%E -0.489%K -0.670%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.97%E -4.66%K -21.32%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -3.14%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.03%E -2.30%K -9.47%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-11-10 00:10
1xBet🎯	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -3.14%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-09 23:55
Bovada🎯	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.14%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-09 23:54
GTbets🎯	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.14%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-10 00:05
BetAnything🎯	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.14%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-09 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯	3.62I 27.62%NM 25.82%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.18%EV -7.44%E -5.90%K -28.61%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-10 00:10
DraftKings🎯	3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -4.20%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-09 23:54
Bet Victor🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.03%E -2.30%K -9.47%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-11-09 23:59
betano_uk🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.03%E -2.30%K -9.47%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-11-09 23:59
FanDuel🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-10 00:00
SportsBet🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-09 23:55
BetMGM🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-09 23:50
Everygame🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-09 23:57
PlayUp🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-10 00:00
Fanatics🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-09 23:55
betfred_uk🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.23%E -4.06%K -18.05%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-09 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.23%E -4.06%K -18.05%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-09 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.23%E -4.06%K -18.05%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-09 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.44%E -5.90%K -28.61%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-10 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.44%E -5.90%K -28.61%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-10 00:10
Bally Bet🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.44%E -5.90%K -28.61%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-10 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.17%E -6.54%K -32.69%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-10 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -4.46%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 75.47%EV -14.05%E -12.01%K -82.64%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-11-10 00:10
BetRivers🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 00:00
TABtouch🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 00:00
Unibet🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 00:00
betPARX🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 00:00
BetUS🎯	3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -6.32%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -2.30%E -1.73%K -6.96%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-11-10 00:10
888sport🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-10 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-10 00:10
picklebet_au🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-10 00:00
William Hill🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-10 00:05
ReBet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-10 00:05
Paddy Power🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.23%E -4.06%K -18.05%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-10 00:10
Coral🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.97%E -4.66%K -21.32%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-10 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.97%E -4.66%K -21.32%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-09 23:50
NordicBet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.44%E -5.90%K -28.61%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-11-09 23:50
Betsson🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.44%E -5.90%K -28.61%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-11-09 23:50
Neds🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.44%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.03%E -2.30%K -9.47%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-09 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.44%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.03%E -2.30%K -9.47%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-09 23:49
Bet Right🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -8.44%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-09 23:55
PMU (FR)🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -8.44%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -10.38%E -8.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-11-10 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.30%E -1.73%K -6.96%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-09 23:55
Sky Bet🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.50%E -3.46%K -15.00%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-09 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.23%E -4.06%K -18.05%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-10 00:10
NetBet (FR)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -8.91%E -7.18%K -37.11%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-11-09 23:55
theScore Bet🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -13.75%E -4.23%K -6.11%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -3.76%E -2.87%K -12.14%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-10 00:10
LeoVegas🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -15.08%E -4.71%K -6.85%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%EV -6.70%E -5.28%K -24.83%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-10 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -15.08%E -4.71%K -6.85%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 71.75%EV -7.44%E -5.90%K -28.61%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-11-10 00:04
Caesars🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.41%E -5.21%K -7.63%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.091%E -0.067%K -0.254%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-10 00:10
Fliff🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -16.41%E -5.21%K -7.63%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -2.30%E -1.73%K -6.96%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-10 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 29.98%EV -24.37%E -8.55%K -13.17%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 70.02%EV -10.38%E -8.51%K -47.16%G +0.000%	17.1%	2026-11-10 00:10

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Novig◎	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%	1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%	0.6%	2026-11-10 00:00
ProphetX◎	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%	1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%	0.6%	2026-11-10 00:00
Polymarket◎	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%	1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%	0.8%	2026-11-10 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%	0.8%	2026-11-10 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%	0.8%	2026-11-10 00:05
Kalshi◎	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%	1.2%	2026-11-09 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%	1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%	1.4%	2026-11-10 00:10
Smarkets◎	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%	1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%	2.1%	2026-11-10 00:10
BetOpenly◎	3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%	1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%	2.2%	2026-11-09 23:59
Matchbook◎	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%	5.1%	2026-11-10 00:10

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