مدرسة الاحتمالات

Boston Celtics v Washington Wizards

البداية: 2026-03-14 22:11 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Boston Celtics (المضيف)

التنبؤ 92.68%1.08السعر العادل
EV -2.69%
الأفضلية -2.56%
Kelly -53.77%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
89.47%92.53%92.59%94.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.001.031.031.05100.00%96.91%97.09%95.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Washington Wizards (الضيف)

التنبؤ 7.32%13.66السعر العادل
EV +39.12%
الأفضلية +2.06%
Kelly +2.17%
النمو +0.850%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 19.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
5.09%7.47%7.41%10.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.7512.8913.0019.0011.43%7.76%7.69%5.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -5.47%E -5.36%K -273.44%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +39.12%E +2.06%K +2.17%G +0.850%3.3%2026-03-14 22:10
Pinnacle1.03I 97.09%NM 94.30%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%17.05I 5.87%NM 5.70%EV +24.84%E +1.46%K +1.55%G +0.385%3.0%2026-03-14 22:09
Dabble (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.40%E -6.33%K -639.55%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +24.48%E +1.44%K +1.53%G +0.375%4.9%2026-03-14 22:10
FanDuel1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.47%E -5.36%K -273.44%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +17.16%E +1.07%K +1.14%G +0.196%4.3%2026-03-14 22:10
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.47%E -5.36%K -273.44%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +17.16%E +1.07%K +1.14%G +0.196%4.3%2026-03-14 22:10
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +9.83%E +0.656%K +0.702%G +0.069%3.8%2026-03-14 22:09
Fanatics1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +9.83%E +0.656%K +0.702%G +0.069%3.8%2026-03-14 22:10
Paddy Power1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.40%E -6.33%K -639.55%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +9.83%E +0.656%K +0.702%G +0.069%5.7%2026-03-14 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.40%E -6.33%K -639.55%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +9.83%E +0.656%K +0.702%G +0.069%5.7%2026-03-14 22:09
NetBet (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -7.32%E -7.32%K +0.000%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +9.83%E +0.656%K +0.702%G +0.069%6.7%2026-03-14 22:01
Caesars1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +6.17%E +0.426%K +0.457%G +0.028%4.0%2026-03-14 22:09
ReBet1.03I 97.09%NM 93.26%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.74%EV +4.34%E +0.305%K +0.328%G +0.014%4.1%2026-03-14 21:59
Winamax (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +2.51%E +0.179%K +0.193%G +0.005%3.3%2026-03-14 22:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +2.51%E +0.179%K +0.193%G +0.005%4.2%2026-03-14 22:00
Betr (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +2.51%E +0.179%K +0.193%G +0.005%4.2%2026-03-14 22:09
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV -1.15%E -0.085%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 22:10
Fliff1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%13.35I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV -2.25%E -0.168%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 22:10
LowVig.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 92.71%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%13.23I 7.56%NM 7.29%EV -3.13%E -0.236%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.03I 97.09%NM 92.70%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%13.07I 7.65%NM 7.30%EV -4.30%E -0.329%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 21:58
GTbets1.04I 96.15%NM 92.62%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%13.05I 7.66%NM 7.38%EV -4.44%E -0.341%K -0.369%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 22:10
Bet Victor1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 22:09
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 22:09
DraftKings1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 22:09
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 22:10
BetUS1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 22:08
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 22:10
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 22:10
Neds1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 22:09
Codere (IT)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 22:00
BetAnything1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.47%E -5.36%K -273.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 22:10
Coral1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.47%E -5.36%K -273.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%12.76I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV -6.57%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 22:10
Marathon Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.53%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.47%EV -6.64%E -0.521%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 21:59
PlayUp1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -2.69%E -2.56%K -53.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -12.13%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 22:10
TAB1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -12.13%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 22:10
Sky Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.13%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 22:09
Winamax (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.13%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 22:09
Bovada1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.13%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 22:08
Everygame1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -12.13%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 22:09
BoyleSports1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.47%E -5.36%K -273.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.13%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 21:59
BetRivers1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -15.79%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 22:10
LiveScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -15.79%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 22:10
TABtouch1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -15.79%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 22:09
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -15.79%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 22:09
Virgin Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -15.79%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 22:10
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -15.79%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 22:10
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -15.79%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -15.79%E -1.37%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 22:10
Bet Right1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -19.45%E -1.77%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 22:09
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -19.45%E -1.77%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 22:10
Betsson1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -19.45%E -1.77%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 22:10
NordicBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -19.45%E -1.77%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -19.45%E -1.77%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 22:09
Unibet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.47%E -5.36%K -273.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -19.45%E -1.77%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 22:10
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.47%E -5.36%K -273.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -19.45%E -1.77%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 22:10
Tipico (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.62%E -3.48%K -90.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -26.78%E -2.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:00
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -26.78%E -2.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 22:09
Betclic (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.47%EV -4.54%E -4.41%K -151.40%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.53%EV -35.93%E -4.11%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 22:07
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Polymarket1.05I 95.24%NM 95.20%20.83I 4.80%NM 4.80%0.0%2026-03-14 22:10
BetOpenly1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%0.2%2026-03-14 21:59
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%0.6%2026-03-14 22:10
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%0.6%2026-03-14 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-14 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-14 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-14 22:10
Kalshi1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-03-14 22:10
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 94.40%17.54I 5.70%NM 5.60%1.9%2026-03-14 22:10
Smarkets1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39%17.51I 5.71%NM 5.61%1.9%2026-03-14 22:10