Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Celtics v Philadelphia 76ers

Inicio: 2026-05-02 23:40 UTC

Final: Boston Celtics 100–109 Philadelphia 76ers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Celtics (Local)

Predicción 59.61%1.68momio equitativo
EV -0.451%
Ventaja -0.270%
Kelly -0.674%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.93%59.74%59.49%62.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.601.6765.36%62.51%62.50%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante)

Predicción 40.39%2.48momio equitativo
EV +3.80%
Ventaja +1.48%
Kelly +2.42%
Crecimiento +0.092%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%40.26%40.51%42.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.372.352.5744.44%42.26%42.55%38.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Boston Celtics (Local): 59.61%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante): 40.39%. Para Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.48. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.57, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.80%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV +3.80%E +1.48%K +2.42%G +0.092%2.2%2026-05-02 23:20
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.975%E +0.390%K +0.650%G +0.006%5.4%2026-05-02 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.975%E +0.390%K +0.650%G +0.006%5.4%2026-05-02 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.975%E +0.390%K +0.650%G +0.006%5.4%2026-05-02 22:00
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.975%E +0.390%K +0.650%G +0.006%5.4%2026-05-02 22:50
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.04%E -0.426%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 23:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.04%E -0.426%K -0.720%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 22:35
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -1.45%E -0.594%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 22:35
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.84%E -1.74%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.85%E -0.762%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 23:34
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.85%E -0.762%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 23:25
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.64%E -0.996%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.26%E -0.932%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-02 23:30
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -2.26%E -0.932%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 23:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -2.66%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 22:35
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.64%E -0.996%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-02 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.84%E -1.74%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 23:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 23:30
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 23:35
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 23:35
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.60%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.06%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -2.84%E -1.74%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 23:32
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 23:30
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.68%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:15
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 23:34
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:35
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:35
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.82%E -3.68%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 23:35
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.89%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 23:35
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.451%E -0.270%K -0.674%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 23:34
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.64%E -0.996%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:35
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.64%E -0.996%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.84%E -1.74%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 23:35
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 23:15
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 23:35
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 23:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 23:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.01%E -4.49%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 23:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -7.51%E -3.28%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 23:25
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 22:45
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 23:35
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 23:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.60%E -4.91%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 23:34
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.80%E -5.75%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 23:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-05-02 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-02 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-05-02 23:35
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-05-02 23:30
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-05-02 23:35
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-02 23:10
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.39%1.1%2026-05-02 23:35
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-05-02 23:35
BetOpenly1.37I 72.99%NM 64.42%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.58%13.3%2026-05-02 23:05