La escuela de los momios

Boston Celtics v Oklahoma City Thunder

Inicio: 2026-03-25 23:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Celtics (Local)

Predicción 45.47%2.20momio equitativo
EV +0.933%
Ventaja +0.420%
Kelly +0.765%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.72%45.33%45.74%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.112.102.2250.00%47.50%47.62%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)

Predicción 54.53%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -2.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.67%54.26%56.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.741.751.8060.61%57.32%57.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV +0.933%E +0.420%K +0.765%G +0.007%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-25 23:30
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV +0.024%E +0.011%K +0.020%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -6.20%E -3.60%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-25 23:25
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -0.431%E -0.197%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-25 20:20
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.885%E -0.406%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.20%E -3.60%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:00
SportsBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.34%E -0.618%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.20%E -3.60%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:20
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:25
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 20:20
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:24
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:25
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 22:20
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.75%E -3.94%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 23:24
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.75%E -3.94%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 22:21
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.84%E -4.64%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-25 22:45
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-25 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-25 22:00
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-25 23:30
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-25 23:15
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 23:30
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 23:30
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 23:40
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 23:30
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 23:30
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.56%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:20
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-25 23:24
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-25 23:05
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 23:10
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 23:20
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 23:15
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 23:15
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 23:25
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 22:44
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 23:15
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 23:20
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-25 23:30
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-25 23:30
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-25 23:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.56%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.56%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 23:35
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 22:20
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-25 22:21
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-25 22:15
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.02%E -6.07%K -15.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-25 23:30
ReBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.38%E -1.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:05
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 23:25
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.56%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 23:30
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.56%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 23:30
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.75%E -3.94%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-25 23:40
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.34%E -3.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 23:10
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.47%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:15
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 23:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 23:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.80%E -3.32%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-25 22:34
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 23:25
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 23:25
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.75%E -3.94%K -9.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-25 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.75%E -3.94%K -9.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-25 23:40
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.28%EV -7.71%E -3.80%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -8.38%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-25 23:33
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-25 16:50
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-25 22:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-03-25 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-25 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-25 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-25 23:40
BetOpenly2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%0.6%2026-03-25 23:25
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%0.6%2026-03-25 23:40
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-25 22:20
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-03-25 23:40
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-03-25 23:40
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-03-25 23:40