La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Hawks v Orlando Magic

Inicio: 2026-03-16 23:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Hawks (Local)

Predicción 57.90%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.927%
Kelly -2.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.78%57.99%57.81%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.641.641.7063.69%60.92%60.98%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Orlando Magic (Visitante)

Predicción 42.10%2.38momio equitativo
EV +1.47%
Ventaja +0.609%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%42.01%42.19%43.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.292.302.4145.45%43.73%43.48%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -7.94%E -5.00%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV +1.47%E +0.609%K +1.04%G +0.015%4.4%2026-03-16 22:59
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +0.206%E +0.086%K +0.149%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-16 23:09
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -0.636%E -0.270%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 23:10
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -0.636%E -0.270%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 23:10
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.06%E -0.450%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-16 23:08
Parions Sport (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.63%E -3.45%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.06%E -0.450%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-16 22:59
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.06%E -0.450%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 23:10
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.63%E -3.45%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -1.48%E -0.632%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.90%E -0.815%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-16 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.90%E -0.815%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-16 23:10
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.90%E -0.815%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-16 23:09
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.90%E -0.815%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-16 23:10
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.32%E -1.00%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-16 23:10
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 22:58
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.58%E -0.927%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-16 23:08
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-16 23:09
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-16 23:09
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-16 23:10
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.89%E -2.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 23:10
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 23:08
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 23:10
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 23:10
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 23:10
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.63%E -3.45%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 23:10
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.63%E -3.45%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 23:10
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.63%E -3.45%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 23:10
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.63%E -3.45%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 23:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 23:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 23:10
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 23:10
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 23:10
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 23:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 23:07
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.63%E -3.45%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.00%E -1.76%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 23:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.00%E -1.76%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.15%E -1.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-16 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.15%E -1.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-16 23:10
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.15%E -1.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-16 23:08
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.73%E -1.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 23:10
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.73%E -1.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 23:10
TAB1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 23:09
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 23:10
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 23:10
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 23:10
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 23:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 23:10
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 23:10
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.52%E -5.39%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 23:01
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.10%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 23:09
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.69%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 23:10
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.15%E -1.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -6.53%E -2.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 23:10
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.89%E -2.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-16 23:09
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 23:09
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.52%E -5.39%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 23:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-16 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-16 23:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-16 23:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-03-16 23:10
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-03-16 23:10
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 58.44%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.56%0.7%2026-03-16 23:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-16 23:09
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-16 23:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-16 23:10
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-03-16 23:08