La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Hawks v Golden State Warriors

Inicio: 2026-03-22 00:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Hawks (Local)

Predicción 72.69%1.38momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -5.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.81%72.65%72.77%74.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.311.321.3578.74%76.08%75.76%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Golden State Warriors (Visitante)

Predicción 27.31%3.66momio equitativo
EV +1.58%
Ventaja +0.425%
Kelly +0.581%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.85%27.35%27.23%29.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.463.453.7231.75%28.90%28.99%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 73.96%EV -4.77%E -3.64%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV +1.58%E +0.425%K +0.581%G +0.009%3.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +1.03%E +0.279%K +0.383%G +0.004%4.0%2026-03-21 23:20
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.03%E +0.279%K +0.383%G +0.004%4.5%2026-03-22 00:04
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.332%E -0.091%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:54
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.332%E -0.091%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 00:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.332%E -0.091%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:50
ReBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -0.332%E -0.091%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:19
Bet Victor1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.04%E -3.06%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.70%E -0.472%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 23:48
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.04%E -3.06%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.70%E -0.472%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 00:00
Coolbet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.77%E -3.64%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.70%E -0.472%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 23:45
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.77%E -3.64%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.70%E -0.472%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 23:20
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.77%E -3.64%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.70%E -0.472%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 00:03
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.70%E -0.472%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 23:20
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.70%E -0.472%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 00:05
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.70%E -0.472%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:24
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.70%E -0.472%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:14
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 72.62%EV -1.86%E -1.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.38%EV -2.24%E -0.627%K -0.870%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-21 23:25
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.04%E -3.06%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.06%E -0.863%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:35
Everygame1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.04%E -3.06%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.06%E -0.863%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:15
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.04%E -3.06%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:34
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.77%E -3.64%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 23:14
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.77%E -3.64%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 23:39
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.77%E -3.64%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 23:14
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 23:24
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.68%E -6.05%K -28.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 23:49
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -2.59%E -1.93%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 23:49
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -2.59%E -1.93%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 23:50
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -2.59%E -1.93%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 23:50
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -2.59%E -1.93%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 23:50
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.04%E -3.06%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.04%E -3.06%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 23:55
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.68%E -6.05%K -28.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 23:47
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -3.32%E -2.49%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -6.61%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 23:49
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.64%EV -1.86%E -1.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -6.89%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 23:50
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.59%E -1.93%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 23:49
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.59%E -1.93%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 23:50
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.32%E -2.49%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 23:44
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.32%E -2.49%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 00:05
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.04%E -3.06%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:35
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.77%E -3.64%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 23:49
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 00:04
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 00:04
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.59%E -1.93%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.98%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:50
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.32%E -2.49%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:55
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.32%E -2.49%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:55
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.32%E -2.49%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:54
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.32%E -2.49%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.04%E -3.06%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 23:50
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.04%E -3.06%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 23:50
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.04%E -3.06%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.04%E -3.06%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.32%E -2.49%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 23:44
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.32%E -2.49%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 23:49
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 23:50
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.59%E -1.93%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 00:04
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.59%E -1.93%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -7.68%E -6.05%K -28.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 00:03
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -7.68%E -6.05%K -28.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -13.99%E -4.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 00:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.34I 74.63%NM 74.81%3.98I 25.13%NM 25.19%-0.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-22 00:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-22 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-03-22 00:05
Polymarket1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-21 23:39
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-03-21 23:55
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-03-22 00:05
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 73.52%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.48%1.5%2026-03-22 00:05
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-03-22 00:05
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-03-22 00:04