La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Hawks v Dallas Mavericks

Inicio: 2026-03-10 23:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Hawks (Local)

Predicción 77.83%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -10.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.96%77.86%77.77%79.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.221.221.2584.03%81.72%81.97%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dallas Mavericks (Visitante)

Predicción 22.17%4.51momio equitativo
EV +1.97%
Ventaja +0.428%
Kelly +0.547%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.83%22.14%22.23%24.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.314.304.6025.32%23.20%23.26%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.97%E +0.428%K +0.547%G +0.011%3.7%2026-03-10 23:38
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.97%E +0.428%K +0.547%G +0.011%3.7%2026-03-10 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.97%E +0.428%K +0.547%G +0.011%3.7%2026-03-10 23:40
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.97%E +0.428%K +0.547%G +0.011%3.7%2026-03-10 23:40
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.97%E +0.428%K +0.547%G +0.011%3.7%2026-03-10 23:40
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.82%E -4.81%K -27.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +1.97%E +0.428%K +0.547%G +0.011%4.4%2026-03-10 23:29
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.60%E -5.50%K -33.01%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +0.862%E +0.190%K +0.243%G +0.002%5.3%2026-03-10 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.27%E -3.47%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.246%E -0.055%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-10 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.246%E -0.055%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.60%E -5.50%K -33.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.246%E -0.055%K -0.070%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 23:40
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.35%E -0.304%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 23:39
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.49%E -2.81%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -2.46%E -0.560%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 23:39
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.27%E -3.47%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.46%E -0.560%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 23:40
SportsBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.27%E -3.47%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.46%E -0.560%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 23:40
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.27%E -3.47%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.46%E -0.560%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 23:38
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.27%E -3.47%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.46%E -0.560%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 23:40
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.27%E -3.47%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.46%E -0.560%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 23:29
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.46%E -0.560%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 23:40
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.46%E -0.560%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 23:40
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.46%E -0.560%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 23:39
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.46%E -0.560%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 23:40
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.46%E -0.560%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 23:40
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.82%E -4.81%K -27.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.46%E -0.560%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:40
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.82%E -4.81%K -27.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.46%E -0.560%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.82%E -4.81%K -27.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.46%E -0.560%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.27%E -3.47%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -3.57%E -0.821%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.27%E -3.47%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -3.57%E -0.821%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.82%E -4.81%K -27.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -3.57%E -0.821%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 23:40
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.49%E -2.81%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 23:40
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.49%E -2.81%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 23:40
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.49%E -2.81%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 23:39
Everygame1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.49%E -2.81%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 23:39
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.27%E -3.47%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 23:30
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.27%E -3.47%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 23:39
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.38%E -6.20%K -38.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -4.68%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 23:40
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 77.44%EV -2.71%E -2.17%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.56%EV -4.90%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 23:40
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.49%E -2.81%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.79%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:39
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.27%E -3.47%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.79%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 23:40
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.79%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.79%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 23:40
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.79%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.82%E -4.81%K -27.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.79%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -3.49%E -2.81%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -6.01%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -4.27%E -3.47%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -6.01%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 23:33
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.49%E -2.81%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.90%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 23:40
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.49%E -2.81%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.90%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 23:39
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.49%E -2.81%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.90%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 23:40
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.49%E -2.81%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.90%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 23:40
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.90%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.82%E -4.81%K -27.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.90%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 23:40
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.60%E -5.50%K -33.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.90%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 23:30
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -5.82%E -4.81%K -27.73%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -8.00%E -1.93%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 23:35
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.71%E -2.17%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 23:40
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:40
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.38%E -6.20%K -38.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 23:40
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 23:40
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 23:40
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.71%E -2.17%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.44%E -3.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.27I 78.74%NM 78.87%4.74I 21.10%NM 21.13%-0.2%2026-03-10 23:29
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-10 23:40
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-03-10 23:40
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-10 23:40
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-03-10 23:40
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.68%4.42I 22.62%NM 22.32%1.4%2026-03-10 23:40
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-03-10 23:40