Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Hawks v Brooklyn Nets

Inicio: 2026-11-08 00:40 UTC

Final: Atlanta Hawks 124–121 Brooklyn Nets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

68 corredores (22 en el análisis )

70%

30%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Hawks (Local)

Predicción 69.63%1.44momio equitativo

EV +2.35%

Ventaja +1.60%

Kelly +5.01%

Crecimiento +0.118%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

65.17%69.44%69.58%71.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.271.381.371.4778.74%72.49%72.99%68.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Brooklyn Nets (Visitante)

Predicción 30.37%3.29momio equitativo

EV +0.533%

Ventaja +0.161%

Kelly +0.231%

Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

28.97%30.56%30.42%34.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.633.063.103.3138.02%32.72%32.26%30.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlanta Hawks (Local): 69.63%; Brooklyn Nets (Visitante): 30.37%. Para Atlanta Hawks (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.44. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.47, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.35%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (68 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +2.35%E +1.60%K +5.01%G +0.118%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -16.48%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 00:35
BetRivers🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +2.35%E +1.60%K +5.01%G +0.118%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -16.48%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +2.35%E +1.60%K +5.01%G +0.118%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -16.48%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 00:25
Unibet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +2.35%E +1.60%K +5.01%G +0.118%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -16.48%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +2.35%E +1.60%K +5.01%G +0.118%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -16.48%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 00:35
betPARX🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +2.35%E +1.60%K +5.01%G +0.118%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -16.48%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +2.35%E +1.60%K +5.01%G +0.118%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -16.48%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV +1.66%E +1.13%K +3.60%G +0.060%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -16.48%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-08 00:35
TABtouch🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV +0.960%E +0.662%K +2.13%G +0.020%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -16.48%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-08 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +0.264%E +0.183%K +0.599%G +0.002%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -16.48%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-08 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV +0.264%E +0.183%K +0.599%G +0.002%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -17.99%E -6.66%K -10.59%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-08 00:35
Caesars🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -0.433%E -0.302%K -1.01%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -11.31%E -3.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 00:35
Pinnacle🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 69.63%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%	3.21I 31.15%NM 30.37%EV -2.50%E -0.780%K -1.13%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-11-08 00:35
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-08 00:30
PMU (FR)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -20.12%E -7.65%K -12.34%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-11-08 00:35
Everygame🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.22%E -2.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-08 00:09
TAB🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.22%E -2.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-07 23:50
BetAnything🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.91%E -2.84%K -10.30%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-07 23:50
1xBet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.91%E -2.84%K -10.30%G +0.000%	3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -3.11%E -0.976%K -1.42%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-07 23:55
DraftKings🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.91%E -2.84%K -10.30%G +0.000%	3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -3.72%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-07 23:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.91%E -2.84%K -10.30%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-07 23:50
Bovada🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.91%E -2.84%K -10.30%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 00:24
picklebet_au🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.91%E -2.84%K -10.30%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-07 23:50
Neds🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.91%E -2.84%K -10.30%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-07 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.91%E -2.84%K -10.30%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-07 23:45
Bet Right🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.91%E -2.84%K -10.30%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-07 23:55
Codere (IT)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.91%E -2.84%K -10.30%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-07 23:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.91%E -2.84%K -10.30%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-07 23:53
betano_uk🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -4.61%E -3.37%K -12.46%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV +0.229%E +0.069%K +0.100%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-11-08 00:20
Bet Victor🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -4.61%E -3.37%K -12.46%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV +0.229%E +0.069%K +0.100%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-11-08 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.61%E -3.37%K -12.46%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.29%E -0.397%K -0.573%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-08 00:30
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.61%E -3.37%K -12.46%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.29%E -0.397%K -0.573%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-08 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.61%E -3.37%K -12.46%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.29%E -0.397%K -0.573%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-07 23:50
BetUS🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.61%E -3.37%K -12.46%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.29%E -0.397%K -0.573%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-07 23:50
SportsBet🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.61%E -3.37%K -12.46%G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -2.20%E -0.683%K -0.991%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-08 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.61%E -3.37%K -12.46%G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -2.20%E -0.683%K -0.991%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-07 23:50
FanDuel🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.61%E -3.37%K -12.46%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.61%E -3.37%K -12.46%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-07 23:55
GTbets🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.61%E -3.37%K -12.46%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-07 23:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.229%E +0.069%K +0.100%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-07 19:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.229%E +0.069%K +0.100%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-07 19:40
Fanatics🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-07 21:45
BetMGM🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-08 00:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.33%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-08 00:33
Paddy Power🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-07 19:04
888sport🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-07 21:15
William Hill🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-07 21:14
888sport (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-07 21:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-07 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-07 19:04
betfred_uk🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-07 23:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-08 00:05
Sky Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-07 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -9.49%E -3.18%K -4.79%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-08 00:30
Coolbet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 71.03%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000%	3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV +0.533%E +0.161%K +0.231%G +0.001%	4.3%	2026-11-07 22:34
Fliff🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.29%E -0.397%K -0.573%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-08 00:35
ReBet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-08 00:29
PlayUp🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-07 19:34
LeoVegas🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-08 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-07 23:50
Coral🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-07 23:45
NordicBet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-07 23:50
Betsson🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-07 23:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.81%E -0.878%K -1.28%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-07 21:50
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 68.88%EV -8.79%E -6.71%K -28.35%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -11.92%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-11-08 00:30
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -9.48%E -7.30%K -31.61%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-11-08 00:25
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -9.48%E -7.30%K -31.61%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.92%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-11-08 00:34
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 67.60%EV -11.57%E -9.11%K -42.86%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 32.40%EV -19.51%E -7.36%K -11.83%G +0.000%	16.5%	2026-11-08 00:30

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
BetOpenly◎	1.40I 71.43%NM 71.31%	3.48I 28.74%NM 28.69%	0.2%	2026-11-08 00:25
Novig◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 70.11%	3.33I 30.03%NM 29.89%	0.5%	2026-11-08 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%	3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%	0.7%	2026-11-08 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%	3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%	0.7%	2026-11-08 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%	3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%	0.7%	2026-11-08 00:30
ProphetX◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%	3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%	0.7%	2026-11-08 00:25
Polymarket◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%	3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%	0.9%	2026-11-07 23:45
Kalshi◎	1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%	3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%	1.0%	2026-11-07 23:50
Matchbook◎	1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%	3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%	1.7%	2026-11-08 00:35
Smarkets◎	1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%	3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%	2.2%	2026-11-08 00:20

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