La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Virtus Segafredo Bologna v Saski Baskonia
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Casa)
Previsione 56.40%1.77quota equa
EV -0.175%
Vantaggio -0.099%
Kelly -0.227%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.93%56.46%56.28%58.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.691.681.7761.73%59.13%59.52%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Saski Baskonia (Trasferta)
Previsione 43.60%2.29quota equa
EV +1.16%
Vantaggio +0.498%
Kelly +0.875%
Crescita +0.010%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.32
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.27%43.54%43.72%46.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.152.152.3249.50%46.58%46.51%43.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -8.07%E -4.95%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV +1.16%E +0.498%K +0.875%G +0.010% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 00:09 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.284%E +0.123%K +0.218%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 12:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.90%E -0.843%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.90%E -0.843%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 09:43 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.38%E -3.84%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.90%E -0.843%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:29 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.90%E -0.843%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 10:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.33%E -1.04%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| GTbets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.51%E -4.58%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 10:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.08%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 15:55 |
| William Hill | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.51%E -2.06%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 17:33 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 17:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.12%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 16:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.38%E -3.84%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 17:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.87%E -1.07%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.87%E -1.07%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 17:29 |
| 888sport | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 17:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 16:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 17:29 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 17:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 16:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-10 17:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.00%E -3.79%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.00%E -3.79%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -0.175%E -0.099%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -9.31%E -4.48%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -0.175%E -0.099%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -9.31%E -4.48%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -0.175%E -0.099%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -9.31%E -4.48%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -0.175%E -0.099%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -9.31%E -4.48%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -0.175%E -0.099%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -9.31%E -4.48%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -0.175%E -0.099%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -9.31%E -4.48%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -0.739%E -0.420%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -10.18%E -4.94%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -10.18%E -4.94%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.30%E -0.744%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-10 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-10 16:05 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.94%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-10 16:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -1.87%E -1.07%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -11.05%E -5.42%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -11.92%E -5.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.5% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.5% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.5% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16% | 2.9% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.45% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09% | 12.3% | 2026-04-09 20:50 |