L’École des cotesFrançais
Virtus Segafredo Bologna v KK Partizan NIS
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Local)
Prévision 62.04%1.61cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.852%
Kelly -2.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.59
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.25%61.91%62.18%62.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.531.521.5967.11%65.35%65.57%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
KK Partizan NIS (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.96%2.63cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.503%
Kelly -0.817%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%38.09%37.82%39.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.482.452.6043.48%40.37%40.82%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.35%E -0.852%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -1.35%E -0.852%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -8.52%E -3.54%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.59%E -1.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 17:40 |
| Unibet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.59%E -1.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.59%E -1.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.59%E -1.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.22%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.22%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.22%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 17:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.22%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 17:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.22%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 19:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.22%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 17:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.22%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.76%E -3.19%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 17:40 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.84%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.10%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 16:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.84%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.90%E -3.71%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.84%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.90%E -3.71%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 17:40 |
| Everygame | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.84%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.90%E -3.71%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.31%E -0.503%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 06:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.31%E -0.503%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 06:50 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.07%E -0.801%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -2.83%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.10%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 13:01 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.70%E -3.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.70%E -3.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.70%E -3.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.70%E -3.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.70%E -3.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
| ReBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.70%E -3.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.70%E -3.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.70%E -3.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.59%E -1.41%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| GTbets | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -4.34%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.10%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.10%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.10%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.10%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.70%E -5.52%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-11 17:50 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.70%E -5.52%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-11 17:50 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.70%E -5.52%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-11 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.56%E -5.07%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.56%E -5.07%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 19:28 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.56%E -5.07%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.00%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-03-11 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-03-11 19:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 2.1% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.86% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44% | 12.0% | 2026-03-11 17:50 |