默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saski Baskonia v Maccabi Tel Aviv

开赛时间： 2026-04-07 19:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

49%

51%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saski Baskonia (主队)

预测 48.81%2.05公平赔率

EV +2.50%

优势 +1.19%

Kelly +2.28%

增长率 +0.057%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布

45.74%48.70%48.92%50.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.831.931.922.1054.64%51.94%51.95%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

Maccabi Tel Aviv (客队)

预测 51.19%1.95公平赔率

EV -0.693%

优势 -0.357%

Kelly -0.737%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.94

博彩公司预测分布

49.07%51.30%51.08%54.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.761.861.851.9456.82%53.82%54.05%51.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saski Baskonia (主队)：48.81%；Maccabi Tel Aviv (客队)：51.19%。对于“Saski Baskonia (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.05。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.10，对应+2.50%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +2.50%E +1.19%K +2.28%G +0.057%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -9.40%E -5.31%K -12.20%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-07 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +2.50%E +1.19%K +2.28%G +0.057%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -9.40%E -5.31%K -12.20%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-07 18:55
DraftKings🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-07 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.84%E -3.76%K -8.34%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-07 15:29
Pinnacle🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%EV -2.87%E -1.44%K -2.90%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-04-07 18:55
William Hill🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -2.87%E -1.44%K -2.90%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -5.30%E -2.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-07 15:25
Betsson🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.35%E -1.69%K -3.42%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.30%E -2.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-07 12:50
NordicBet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.35%E -1.69%K -3.42%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.30%E -2.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-07 12:50
Fanatics🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-07 15:30
Coolbet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-07 16:10
Bovada🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-07 18:51
888sport🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-07 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-07 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-07 14:25
Betway🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-07 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-07 15:30
Everygame🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-07 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -5.31%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -3.25%E -1.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-04-07 18:19
FanDuel🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.79%E -2.57%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-07 15:30
ReBet🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.79%E -2.57%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-07 15:30
GTbets🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.31%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -7.35%E -4.06%K -9.07%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-07 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -5.31%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -9.91%E -5.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-04-07 15:30
1xBet🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.21%E -0.624%K -1.30%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-04-07 11:59
SportsBet🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.92%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-07 15:30
PlayUp🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.84%E -3.76%K -8.34%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-07 16:35
BetMGM🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.23%E -1.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-07 18:19
BoyleSports🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-07 15:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-07 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-07 15:30
Paddy Power🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.82%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-07 15:30
TAB🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.30%E -2.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-07 13:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.75%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.35%E -4.06%K -9.07%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-04-07 15:35
Codere (IT)🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.75%E -4.10%K -8.70%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.35%E -4.06%K -9.07%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-04-07 15:30
Unibet🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -0.693%E -0.357%K -0.737%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-07 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -0.693%E -0.357%K -0.737%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-07 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.21%E -0.624%K -1.30%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-07 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.21%E -0.624%K -1.30%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-07 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.21%E -0.624%K -1.30%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-07 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.21%E -0.624%K -1.30%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-07 18:55
BetRivers🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -8.72%E -4.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -1.21%E -0.624%K -1.30%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-07 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -1.72%E -0.894%K -1.87%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-07 18:55
TABtouch🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -2.23%E -1.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-07 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -10.68%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -3.76%E -2.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-07 18:55
Coral🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.68%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-04-07 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.68%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-04-07 18:15
Neds🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.68%E -5.83%K -12.86%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-04-07 18:15

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%	1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%	0.8%	2026-04-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%	1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%	0.8%	2026-04-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%	1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%	0.8%	2026-04-07 18:55
Smarkets◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%	1.8%	2026-04-07 18:55
Matchbook◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%	3.5%	2026-04-07 18:50

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%	10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%	11.3%	2026-04-07 18:20