默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Paris Basketball v Fenerbahce SK

2026-11-11 19:45 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

29%

71%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Paris Basketball (主队)

预测 29.17%3.43公平赔率

EV -3.17%

优势 -0.954%

Kelly -1.36%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.32

博彩公司预测分布

28.54%29.23%29.03%32.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.653.173.253.3237.74%31.56%30.77%30.12%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fenerbahce SK (客队)

预测 70.83%1.41公平赔率

EV -3.67%

优势 -2.70%

Kelly -10.19%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.36

博彩公司预测分布

67.77%70.77%70.97%71.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.241.321.331.3680.65%75.66%75.19%73.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Paris Basketball (主队)：29.17%；Fenerbahce SK (客队)：70.83%。对于“Paris Basketball (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.43。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.32，期望值为-3.17%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
1xBet🎯	3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -3.17%E -0.954%K -1.36%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -3.67%E -2.70%K -10.19%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-11-06 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.38%E -3.24%K -12.50%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-06 20:35
888sport🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.55%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-06 20:35
William Hill🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.55%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-06 20:35
888sport (SE)🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.55%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-06 20:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.55%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-06 20:35
FanDuel🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.55%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-06 20:40
SportsBet🎯	3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -4.33%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.46%EV -7.21%E -5.50%K -23.25%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-06 20:34
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.38%E -3.24%K -12.50%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-06 20:35
theScore Bet🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.21%E -5.50%K -23.25%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-06 20:35
Paddy Power🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.92%E -6.09%K -26.39%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-11-06 20:40
Fanatics🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.38%E -3.24%K -12.50%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-06 20:35
ReBet🎯	3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -9.00%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.55%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-06 20:51
BoyleSports🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.55%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-06 20:35
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.55%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-06 20:45
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 32.23%EV -22.71%E -8.57%K -13.76%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 67.77%EV -10.75%E -8.53%K -41.35%G +0.000%	17.1%	2026-11-06 20:45
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 31.88%EV -22.71%E -8.57%K -13.76%G +0.000%	1.24I 80.65%NM 68.12%EV -12.17%E -9.81%K -50.69%G +0.000%	18.4%	2026-11-06 20:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

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