La scuola delle quote

Panathinaikos v KK Crvena zvezda

Inizio: 2026-03-20 19:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Panathinaikos (Casa)

Previsione 72.06%1.39quota equa
EV -0.558%
Vantaggio -0.404%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.35%72.00%72.29%73.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.311.311.3880.00%76.11%76.34%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

KK Crvena zvezda (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.94%3.58quota equa
EV +0.586%
Vantaggio +0.163%
Kelly +0.225%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.08%28.00%27.71%30.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.013.373.403.6033.22%29.64%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.04%E -5.46%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.586%E +0.163%K +0.225%G +0.001%5.3%2026-03-20 13:35
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.76%E -6.07%K -27.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +0.586%E +0.163%K +0.225%G +0.001%5.9%2026-03-19 11:39
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -8.48%E -6.68%K -31.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +0.586%E +0.163%K +0.225%G +0.001%6.5%2026-03-20 19:04
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.60%E -4.28%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -0.811%E -0.229%K -0.318%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 16:49
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 18:46
Parions Sport (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.60%E -4.28%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 19:10
William Hill1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.60%E -4.28%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 12:09
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.60%E -4.28%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 08:24
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 11:39
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 11:39
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 11:39
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 11:39
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 11:39
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 19:04
ReBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 16:50
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -3.05%E -0.878%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 19:05
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 18:44
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 18:44
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 18:45
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 18:45
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 18:44
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 21:20
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 18:44
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.04%E -5.46%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 12:39
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 17:15
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 19:00
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.76%E -6.07%K -27.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 19:05
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.00%E -1.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 18:05
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.00%E -1.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 18:05
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.72%E -2.01%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 18:44
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.60%E -4.28%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 16:50
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.04%E -5.46%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 08:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.04%E -5.46%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 08:24
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.76%E -6.07%K -27.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 08:24
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.00%E -1.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 17:14
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 17:35
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.04%E -5.46%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 11:38
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.93%EV -0.558%E -0.404%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.07%EV -10.31%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 18:44
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 21:19
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.89%EV -1.28%E -0.933%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.11%EV -11.15%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 18:38
MyBookie.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -13.38%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 17:59
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.93%EV -9.93%E -7.94%K -39.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%EV -14.78%E -4.85%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-20 16:50
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 69.35%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.65%EV -15.90%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 19:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-03-20 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-03-20 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-03-20 19:10
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-03-20 19:10
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%4.3%2026-03-20 19:10

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.95%10.7%2026-03-20 08:25