La scuola delle quote

Olympiacos v Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano

Inizio: 2026-04-16 18:15 UTC

Finale: Olympiacos 85–76 Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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43 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Olympiacos (Casa)

Previsione 84.12%1.19quota equa
EV -1.59%
Vantaggio -1.35%
Kelly -9.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
82.02%84.16%84.27%85.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.101.121.121.1790.91%88.95%89.29%85.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.88%6.30quota equa
EV +6.43%
Vantaggio +0.959%
Kelly +1.13%
Crescita +0.072%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.21%15.84%15.73%17.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.205.986.006.7019.23%16.72%16.67%14.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.63%E -5.97%K -60.29%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +6.43%E +0.959%K +1.13%G +0.072%5.0%2026-04-16 18:05
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.26%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +5.00%E +0.756%K +0.891%G +0.045%4.4%2026-04-16 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.26%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +5.00%E +0.756%K +0.891%G +0.045%4.4%2026-04-16 18:00
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.63%E -5.97%K -60.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.25%E +0.500%K +0.591%G +0.019%5.5%2026-04-16 07:45
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.63%E -5.97%K -60.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.25%E +0.500%K +0.591%G +0.019%5.5%2026-04-16 07:40
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.80%EV -4.11%E -3.60%K -29.35%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 15.20%EV +1.03%E +0.161%K +0.192%G +0.002%3.4%2026-04-16 14:25
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -0.721%E -0.115%K -0.137%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 18:00
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -0.721%E -0.115%K -0.137%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:52
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.63%E -5.97%K -60.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -0.721%E -0.115%K -0.137%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 11:30
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 84.63%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.37%EV -1.20%E -0.193%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 18:00
Coolbet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.10%E -0.509%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:55
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.10%E -0.509%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.10%E -0.509%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.10%E -0.509%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.10%E -0.509%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 18:05
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.10%E -0.509%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 18:05
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -3.10%E -0.509%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 18:05
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.11%E -3.60%K -29.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 12:19
888sport1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 11:35
888sport (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 11:34
Mr Green (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 11:34
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 20:14
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 10:00
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 17:05
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.63%E -5.97%K -60.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 10:15
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.63%E -5.97%K -60.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 13:50
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.63%E -5.97%K -60.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.69%E -0.782%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 18:00
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.01%EV -4.11%E -3.60%K -29.35%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.99%EV -4.85%E -0.810%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 17:55
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.27%E -2.84%K -21.78%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -6.28%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 17:55
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -7.87%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 18:00
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 18:05
PointsBet (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.79%E -5.17%K -48.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.63%E -5.97%K -60.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 20:10
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.63%E -5.97%K -60.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 20:10
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.63%E -5.97%K -60.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -8.66%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 20:09
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.95%E -4.38%K -38.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -11.05%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 15:05
MyBookie.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.63%E -5.97%K -60.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -11.05%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 18:10
Codere (IT)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.63%E -5.97%K -60.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -11.05%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 18:05
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -7.47%E -6.79%K -74.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -12.63%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-16 18:00
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -1.59%E -1.35%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV -15.02%E -2.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 12:25
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.11%E -3.60%K -29.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -16.61%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 17:20
TAB1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -4.11%E -3.60%K -29.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -17.40%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 17:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-04-16 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-04-16 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-04-16 18:05
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%2.4%2026-04-16 18:05
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%2.8%2026-04-16 18:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%10.8%2026-04-16 11:45