L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.32
avec la cote maximale 1.72
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -1.42%E -0.613%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.70%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.70%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| William Hill | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.71%E -6.19%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.82%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.25%E -2.35%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 09:30 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.23%E -1.31%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 16:05 |
| GTbets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.69%E -3.47%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 11:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 16:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -7.37%E -3.38%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -1.08%E -0.630%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.37%E -3.38%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 18:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.37%E -3.38%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.22%E -3.81%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.66%E -0.970%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.22%E -3.81%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.66%E -0.970%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.22%E -3.81%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.66%E -0.970%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.22%E -3.81%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.66%E -0.970%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.22%E -3.81%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.66%E -0.970%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.22%E -3.81%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.66%E -0.970%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.66%E -0.970%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.10%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.99%E -4.99%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.99%E -4.99%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.99%E -4.99%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -9.07%E -4.24%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.66%E -0.970%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -9.07%E -4.24%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -2.23%E -1.31%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -9.92%E -4.68%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| BetUS | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -15.87%E -8.01%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -1.08%E -0.630%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56% | 2.3% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00% | 2.6% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.25% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08% | 12.4% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |