L’École des cotesFrançais
KK Partizan NIS v Valencia Basket
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
KK Partizan NIS (Local)
Prévision 39.20%2.55cote équitable
EV -0.048%
Avantage -0.019%
Kelly -0.031%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.35%39.07%39.33%41.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.242.412.402.5544.64%41.51%41.67%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Valencia Basket (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.80%1.64cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -3.45%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.18%60.93%60.67%62.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.561.561.6165.79%64.23%64.10%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.048%E -0.019%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.58%E -4.99%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.048%E -0.019%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.58%E -4.99%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 17:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.01%E -0.803%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 04:04 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.01%E -0.803%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.76%E -3.71%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 14:50 |
| William Hill | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.79%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.18%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-27 10:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.18%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-27 10:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.18%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.93%E -2.49%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.58%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 23:15 |
| GTbets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -3.58%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -6.36%E -4.13%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.97%E -1.62%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.97%E -1.62%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-26 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.97%E -1.62%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.76%E -3.71%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 15:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.97%E -1.62%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.97%E -4.56%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 23:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.97%E -1.62%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.97%E -4.56%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 15:54 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.97%E -1.62%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.97%E -4.56%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.97%E -1.62%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.97%E -4.56%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 15:54 |
| ReBet | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.36%E -1.79%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.14%E -2.13%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 08:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.93%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.11%E -1.31%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.93%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.32%E -2.09%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 19:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.93%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.93%E -2.49%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 16:10 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.93%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.93%E -2.49%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 16:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.93%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 01:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.93%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.93%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.93%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.93%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 16:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.93%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 16:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.93%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 16:24 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.93%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.93%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 23:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.93%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.97%E -4.56%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.71%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.71%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.97%E -4.56%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 23:14 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.89%E -3.36%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 19:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.89%E -3.36%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-27 16:09 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.89%E -3.36%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.76%E -3.71%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 09:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.89%E -3.36%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.76%E -3.71%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 03:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.89%E -3.36%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.36%E -4.13%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 07:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.89%E -3.36%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.97%E -4.56%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.89%E -3.36%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.97%E -4.56%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-26 23:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.89%E -3.36%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.97%E -4.56%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-26 23:14 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.85%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.97%E -4.56%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 16:25 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.85%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.97%E -4.56%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.85%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.97%E -4.56%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-26 16:24 |
| BetUS | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.82%EV -12.20%E -5.45%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -2.11%E -1.31%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 19:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.1% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78% | 2.8% | 2026-03-27 18:50 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.98% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46% | 11.6% | 2026-03-26 16:24 |