L’École des cotes

KK Crvena zvezda v Paris Basketball

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

KK Crvena zvezda (Local)

Prévision 71.25%1.40cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -4.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.20%71.32%71.20%73.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.331.331.3878.13%75.47%75.19%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Paris Basketball (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.75%3.48cote équitable
EV +2.05%
Avantage +0.577%
Kelly +0.804%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.95%28.68%28.80%30.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.073.303.303.5532.57%30.31%30.30%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.95%E -4.50%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +2.05%E +0.577%K +0.804%G +0.016%3.9%2026-04-07 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.66%E -5.08%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +2.05%E +0.577%K +0.804%G +0.016%4.5%2026-04-07 17:33
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.52%E -3.37%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.26%E -0.665%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 17:49
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.26%E -0.665%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 17:44
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.26%E -0.665%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 17:45
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.26%E -0.665%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 17:45
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.26%E -0.665%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 17:45
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.26%E -0.665%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 17:44
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.26%E -0.665%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 17:44
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.95%E -4.50%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.26%E -0.665%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 17:35
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.66%E -5.08%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.26%E -0.665%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 16:10
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.37%E -5.67%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.26%E -0.665%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 17:35
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.37%E -5.67%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.26%E -0.665%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 17:54
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.52%E -3.37%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.12%E -0.927%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 16:34
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.52%E -3.37%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.12%E -0.927%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 16:34
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -8.08%E -6.27%K -27.87%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.86%EV -3.99%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 16:09
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.81%E -2.82%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 16:24
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.52%E -3.37%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 17:35
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.52%E -3.37%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 17:55
ReBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.52%E -3.37%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 17:55
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 16:10
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 16:10
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 17:45
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.66%E -5.08%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.08%E -6.27%K -27.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 16:10
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.08%E -6.27%K -27.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.80%E -6.87%K -31.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-07 17:34
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.80%E -6.87%K -31.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-07 16:10
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -2.38%E -1.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 15:35
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.10%E -2.28%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 16:10
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.52%E -3.37%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 16:09
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.52%E -3.37%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 16:09
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 17:35
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.95%E -4.50%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 17:35
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.95%E -4.50%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 17:35
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.37%E -5.67%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 17:45
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -3.10%E -2.28%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -7.44%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 15:40
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 17:35
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.37%E -5.67%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 16:10
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.66%E -5.08%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 17:35
MyBookie.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 70.56%EV -6.66%E -5.08%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.44%EV -9.74%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 17:39
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.67%E -1.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 16:11
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.52%E -3.37%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:15
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 17:49
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 69.93%EV -5.95%E -4.50%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.07%EV -11.75%E -3.83%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 17:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-07 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-07 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-07 17:55
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-04-07 17:55
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%3.5%2026-04-07 17:55

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04%10.4%2026-04-07 16:10