La escuela de los momiosEspañol
KK Crvena zvezda v KK Partizan NIS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
KK Crvena zvezda (Local)
Predicción 71.04%1.41momio equitativo
EV -0.549%
Ventaja -0.392%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.31%70.92%71.04%72.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.341.331.4076.92%74.85%75.19%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
KK Partizan NIS (Visitante)
Predicción 28.96%3.45momio equitativo
EV +0.215%
Ventaja +0.062%
Kelly +0.087%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.66%29.08%28.96%32.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.253.303.4635.71%30.78%30.30%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV +0.215%E +0.062%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -1.23%E -0.362%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -1.23%E -0.362%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 08:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.52%E -0.448%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 04:19 |
| Unibet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.52%E -0.448%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.52%E -0.448%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 14:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.52%E -0.448%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.52%E -0.448%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.52%E -0.448%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 14:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.52%E -0.448%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 14:24 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.52%E -0.448%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.52%E -0.448%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 09:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.65%E -5.89%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.52%E -0.448%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 09:54 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.65%E -5.89%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.52%E -0.448%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.97%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 09:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.97%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| ReBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 12:05 |
| William Hill | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 21:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 10:00 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 20:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 20:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 20:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.94%E -5.30%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 12:49 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 15:43 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 10:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 09:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 00:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 09:09 |
| GTbets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 09:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.65%E -5.89%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 20:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.52%EV -1.26%E -0.906%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.48%EV -8.18%E -2.58%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-02 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 09:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.94%E -5.30%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 09:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.56%EV -6.94%E -5.30%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.44%EV -9.05%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 10:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -1.97%E -1.43%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -9.63%E -3.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 15:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-02 17:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.549%E -0.392%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 15:40 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-02 15:49 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 11:55 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -18.90%E -6.75%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-02 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -18.90%E -6.75%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-02 15:40 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -18.90%E -6.75%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-02 15:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 2.4% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 17:55 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.64% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-04-01 11:05 |