La scuola delle quote

KK Crvena zvezda v FC Bayern München

Inizio: 2026-03-06 19:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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43 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

KK Crvena zvezda (Casa)

Previsione 76.08%1.31quota equa
EV -0.339%
Vantaggio -0.259%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.58%76.05%76.19%77.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.241.251.3183.33%80.45%80.00%76.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Bayern München (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.92%4.18quota equa
EV +2.87%
Vantaggio +0.667%
Kelly +0.869%
Crescita +0.025%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.10%23.95%23.81%28.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.944.004.3030.30%25.36%25.00%23.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.43%E -5.22%K -27.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +2.87%E +0.667%K +0.869%G +0.025%4.6%2026-03-06 19:00
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +2.87%E +0.667%K +0.869%G +0.025%5.2%2026-03-06 18:59
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +2.87%E +0.667%K +0.869%G +0.025%5.2%2026-03-06 18:59
William Hill1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.477%E +0.114%K +0.149%G +0.001%4.5%2026-03-06 19:00
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.477%E +0.114%K +0.149%G +0.001%5.8%2026-03-06 18:46
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.477%E +0.114%K +0.149%G +0.001%5.8%2026-03-06 18:46
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -1.20%E -0.290%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 18:52
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.92%E -0.467%K -0.618%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 18:59
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV -3.83%E -0.953%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 18:59
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:00
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:00
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:00
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 18:46
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:00
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:00
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:00
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 18:59
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:00
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.71%E -7.26%K -43.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 19:00
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 18:59
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.38%E -2.66%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.38%E -2.66%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.43%E -5.22%K -27.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.50%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 19:00
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 76.06%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.60%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.94%EV -5.74%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 18:59
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.14%E -3.29%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.70%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:00
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 18:59
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.43%E -5.22%K -27.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -7.90%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:00
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:00
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 19:00
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 18:59
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:00
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:00
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.48%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:00
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.90%E -3.92%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.48%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 18:59
MyBookie.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.66%E -4.57%K -23.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 18:59
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -3.38%E -2.66%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -19.86%E -5.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 18:59
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -0.339%E -0.259%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -21.05%E -6.38%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 19:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-06 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-06 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-06 19:00
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-03-06 19:00
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%7.6%2026-03-06 19:00

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%10.8%2026-03-06 19:00