L’École des cotesFrançais
KK Crvena zvezda v Anadolu Efes
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
KK Crvena zvezda (Local)
Prévision 72.06%1.39cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -5.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.28%72.07%72.09%73.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.95%75.76%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Anadolu Efes (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.94%3.58cote équitable
EV +1.99%
Avantage +0.545%
Kelly +0.751%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 3.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.26%27.93%27.91%30.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.333.353.6533.33%29.99%29.85%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.32%E -4.87%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +1.99%E +0.545%K +0.751%G +0.015% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.10%EV -5.60%E -4.28%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.90%EV -0.526%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 16:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.20%E -0.629%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 19:05 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.20%E -0.629%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 16:58 |
| William Hill | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.60%E -4.28%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.20%E -0.629%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 17:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.32%E -4.87%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.20%E -0.629%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 17:05 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.32%E -4.87%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.20%E -0.629%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 17:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.05%E -5.46%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.20%E -0.629%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 17:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 16:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.49%E -6.68%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 16:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.44%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 18:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 18:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 10:05 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 10:10 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.32%E -4.87%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 17:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.05%E -5.46%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 17:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -2.72%E -2.02%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -5.83%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-25 18:14 |
| GTbets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.95%EV -5.60%E -4.28%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.05%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 18:09 |
| Unibet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 19:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 19:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 19:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.60%E -4.28%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-25 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.60%E -4.28%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-25 17:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 19:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 19:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.32%E -4.87%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 19:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.32%E -4.87%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 17:10 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.32%E -4.87%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.32%E -4.87%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.32%E -4.87%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 18:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.32%E -4.87%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.05%E -5.46%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 17:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.52%EV -7.05%E -5.46%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.48%EV -9.47%E -2.92%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-25 18:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.00%E -1.47%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 10:55 |
| TAB | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -3.44%E -2.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -13.38%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -16.17%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 10:55 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -16.17%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 10:54 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -16.17%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 10:50 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -16.17%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 16:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-02-25 18:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 18:55 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.96% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91% | 11.4% | 2026-02-25 09:10 |