La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
FC Barcelona Bàsquet v KK Crvena zvezda
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local)
Predicción 62.52%1.60momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -4.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.87%62.48%62.52%63.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.521.521.5667.57%65.66%65.79%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
KK Crvena zvezda (Visitante)
Predicción 37.48%2.67momio equitativo
EV -0.675%
Ventaja -0.255%
Kelly -0.409%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%37.52%37.48%39.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.502.502.6542.02%39.99%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.47%E -1.58%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.17%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.47%E -1.58%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.17%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.47%E -1.58%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.17%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.47%E -1.58%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.17%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.47%E -1.58%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.17%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.47%E -1.58%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.92%E -3.67%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -3.10%E -2.00%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -8.92%E -3.67%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%EV -3.72%E -2.42%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%EV -3.30%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-21 13:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -3.72%E -2.42%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -3.67%E -1.43%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.72%E -2.42%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.30%E -2.52%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 17:15 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.72%E -2.42%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.92%E -3.67%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.72%E -2.42%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.05%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.35%E -2.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.675%E -0.255%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.35%E -2.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.675%E -0.255%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.35%E -2.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.30%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 15:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.35%E -2.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.80%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 17:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.35%E -2.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.80%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 13:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.35%E -2.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.30%E -2.52%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.35%E -2.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.30%E -2.52%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 13:14 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.35%E -2.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.17%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 17:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.35%E -2.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.79%E -4.54%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.97%E -3.27%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.55%E -0.980%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.97%E -3.27%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.97%E -3.27%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.42%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.97%E -3.27%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.42%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 10:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.97%E -3.27%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.42%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.97%E -3.27%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.17%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 17:15 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.97%E -3.27%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.17%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 17:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.97%E -3.27%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.17%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 07:10 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.60%E -3.71%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.55%E -0.980%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 17:03 |
| GTbets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.60%E -3.71%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -4.05%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| ReBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.60%E -3.71%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.17%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 17:50 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.22%E -4.15%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.55%E -0.980%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 15:59 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.22%E -4.15%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.42%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.22%E -4.15%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.42%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.22%E -4.15%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.42%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.22%E -4.15%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -5.17%E -2.04%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 17:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.22%E -4.15%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.30%E -2.52%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 10:13 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.22%E -4.15%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.30%E -2.52%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.22%E -4.15%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.17%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 17:15 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%EV -6.22%E -4.15%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -9.30%E -3.84%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 17:24 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.47%E -5.05%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.05%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.47%E -5.05%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.05%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 13:00 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.47%E -5.05%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.05%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 13:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.7% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04% | 3.5% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.17% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.45% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.38% | 12.8% | 2026-04-21 13:00 |