L’École des cotesFrançais
Dubai Basketball v Anadolu Efes
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Dubai Basketball (Local)
Prévision 75.91%1.32cote équitable
EV -0.556%
Avantage -0.424%
Kelly -1.79%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.11%75.85%75.89%77.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.251.251.3182.64%79.96%80.00%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Anadolu Efes (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.09%4.15cote équitable
EV +3.58%
Avantage +0.833%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.039%
avec la cote maximale 4.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.24%24.15%24.11%28.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.924.004.3031.25%25.52%25.00%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.63%E -5.39%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +3.58%E +0.833%K +1.08%G +0.039% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.63%E -5.39%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +3.58%E +0.833%K +1.08%G +0.039% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.63%E -5.39%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +3.58%E +0.833%K +1.08%G +0.039% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.63%E -5.39%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +3.58%E +0.833%K +1.08%G +0.039% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.63%E -5.39%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +3.58%E +0.833%K +1.08%G +0.039% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.63%E -5.39%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +3.58%E +0.833%K +1.08%G +0.039% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.63%E -5.39%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +1.17%E +0.279%K +0.366%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 17:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.63%E -5.39%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +1.17%E +0.279%K +0.366%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -0.033%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.24%E -0.302%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 17:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.63%E -5.39%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.24%E -0.302%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.24%E -0.302%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.15%E -6.73%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.24%E -0.302%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.87%E -4.73%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -2.44%E -0.603%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 17:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.87%E -4.73%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -2.44%E -0.603%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 17:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.35%E -3.45%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.92%E -0.726%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.35%E -3.45%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.92%E -0.726%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.99%EV -3.59%E -2.83%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV -3.16%E -0.787%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 17:35 |
| William Hill | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.35%E -3.45%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.65%E -0.912%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 10:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.65%E -0.912%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 17:39 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.65%E -0.912%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 09:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.65%E -0.912%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 09:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.65%E -0.912%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 09:45 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.65%E -0.912%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.65%E -0.912%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 17:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.65%E -0.912%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.59%E -2.83%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.06%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.87%E -4.73%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.26%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 17:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.63%E -5.39%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -7.26%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 17:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.83%E -2.21%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.59%E -2.83%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 17:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.63%E -5.39%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.36%EV -1.31%E -1.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.64%EV -9.19%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 15:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.39%E -6.06%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.67%E -2.58%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.87%E -4.73%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.87%E -2.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 17:48 |
| GTbets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.08%EV -3.59%E -2.83%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.92%EV -12.56%E -3.46%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 03:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -0.556%E -0.424%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -13.28%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -2.83%E -2.21%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -14.49%E -4.08%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-09 11:03 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -2.83%E -2.21%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -14.49%E -4.08%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 17:54 |
| BetUS | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.74%EV -5.11%E -4.09%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.26%EV -15.45%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| TAB | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.59%E -2.83%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -15.69%E -4.48%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.07%E -1.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -18.10%E -5.32%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -2.83%E -2.21%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -18.10%E -5.32%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -1.31%E -1.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -22.92%E -7.16%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.8% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.07% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99% | 11.4% | 2026-04-10 17:55 |