La scuola delle quote

AS Monaco v Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano

Inizio: 2026-03-24 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

AS Monaco (Casa)

Previsione 54.73%1.83quota equa
EV -2.59%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -3.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.51%54.83%54.68%56.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.731.731.7859.88%57.80%57.80%56.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.27%2.21quota equa
EV +0.055%
Vantaggio +0.025%
Kelly +0.045%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.44%45.17%45.32%46.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.982.082.102.2150.51%48.02%47.62%45.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV +0.055%E +0.025%K +0.045%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 17:55
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.51%E -4.45%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.398%E -0.181%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 17:46
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.30%E -0.598%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 17:24
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.66%E -1.24%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-24 17:09
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.78%E -2.74%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.11%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 21:24
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.02%E -1.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 17:29
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.13%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 16:04
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.13%E -1.77%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 16:04
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 16:14
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:55
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:54
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:54
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:55
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:55
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.74%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 14:04
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.74%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 21:09
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.74%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 17:55
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 09:19
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 12:29
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 17:19
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.61%E -5.15%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.93%E -2.35%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 00:54
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.38%E -2.57%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 16:14
William Hill1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.59%E -1.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 05:10
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 14:04
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.83%E -2.80%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 17:55
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.28%E -3.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 16:15
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.28%E -3.04%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 17:54
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -6.74%E -3.27%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 12:29
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 04:19
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 04:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 04:19
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.32%E -3.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-24 16:14
TAB1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 12:29
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 13:59
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 14:04
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.19%E -3.51%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 14:04
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.55%E -4.23%K -8.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 17:29
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.55%E -4.23%K -8.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 16:14
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.42%E -3.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 17:49
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-23 21:08
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-23 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.45%E -4.73%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-23 21:09
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -5.87%E -3.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -10.36%E -5.23%K -10.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-24 16:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-03-24 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-03-24 17:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-03-24 17:50
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-03-24 17:50
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%3.4%2026-03-24 17:55

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.42%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%12.3%2026-03-23 21:19