La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Anadolu Efes v KK Partizan NIS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Anadolu Efes (Local)
Predicción 54.22%1.84momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.722%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.85%54.20%54.25%55.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.751.751.8259.88%57.05%57.14%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
KK Partizan NIS (Visitante)
Predicción 45.78%2.18momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.735%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%45.80%45.75%47.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.79%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09%EV -1.31%E -0.722%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 09:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.94%E -1.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.94%E -1.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 17:05 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.94%E -1.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.94%E -1.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.94%E -1.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 17:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.94%E -1.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 17:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.94%E -1.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 17:05 |
| William Hill | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.78%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 17:05 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.02%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 16:53 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.02%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.02%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 01:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.02%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 21:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.02%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.02%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 17:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.57%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.78%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 12:15 |
| ReBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.57%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.78%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 12:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.57%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 12:15 |
| GTbets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.57%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 21:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.58%E -0.735%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 17:05 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.78%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 12:14 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.78%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 11:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.78%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 11:24 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 09:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 09:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -9.82%E -4.98%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 17:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.04%E -0.952%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 14:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 12:15 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 17:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.95%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 17:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 23:24 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| TAB | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 17:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 17:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.99%E -3.97%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 12:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 11:24 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -7.99%E -3.97%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 12:20 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 14:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.45%E -5.66%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 23:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-04-08 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-08 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-08 17:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41% | 2.9% | 2026-04-08 17:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 17:25 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.42% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10% | 12.3% | 2026-04-08 17:25 |