默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yomiuri Giants v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间： 2026-08-21 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

59%

41%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yomiuri Giants (主队)

预测 58.80%1.70公平赔率

EV -2.97%

优势 -1.80%

Kelly -4.57%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布

57.97%58.84%58.84%60.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.531.601.611.6565.36%62.33%62.11%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 41.20%2.43公平赔率

EV +0.106%

优势 +0.044%

Kelly +0.074%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.43

博彩公司预测分布

39.85%41.16%41.16%42.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.112.282.252.4347.39%43.83%44.44%41.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yomiuri Giants (主队)：58.80%；Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)：41.20%。对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.427。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.430，对应+0.106%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.73%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +0.106%E +0.044%K +0.074%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-21 08:54
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.73%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +0.106%E +0.044%K +0.074%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-21 08:55
Pinnacle🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.97%E -1.80%K -4.57%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-21 08:45
Fanatics🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.97%E -1.80%K -4.57%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-21 05:34
1xBet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.56%E -2.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-21 08:55
DraftKings🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.73%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-21 08:54
NordicBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.91%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-21 08:54
Betsson🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.91%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-21 08:54
FanDuel🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.73%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.60%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-21 05:34
Coolbet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.92%K -7.64%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-21 06:19
BetMGM🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.73%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-20 21:14
Bovada🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.50%E -4.09%K -11.02%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-20 22:32
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.85%E -5.71%K -16.10%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-21 07:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.73%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-21 05:34
BetUS🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.56%E -2.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.48%E -2.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-21 08:49
BetRivers🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-21 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-21 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-21 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-21 08:54
Unibet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-21 08:54
Bally Bet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.59%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-21 08:54
Caesars🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.74%E -2.92%K -7.64%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-20 12:59
BoyleSports🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.74%E -2.92%K -7.64%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-20 13:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.73%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-20 12:59
theScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.73%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-20 12:59
ReBet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.50%E -4.09%K -11.02%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-21 08:04
Fliff🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.50%E -4.09%K -11.02%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-21 05:29
888sport🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.47%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-21 07:35
888sport (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.47%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-21 07:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.47%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-21 07:34
Betway🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.47%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-21 05:35
Coral🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.47%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-20 21:13
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.85%E -5.71%K -16.10%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.43%E -5.32%K -9.94%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-08-21 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -10.03%E -6.56%K -18.92%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 42.03%EV -13.08%E -6.20%K -11.78%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-08-21 08:33

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。