L’École des cotes

Yomiuri Giants v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-22 09:01 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prévision 59.23%1.69cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.652%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.74%59.27%59.32%60.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.591.601.6767.11%62.97%62.50%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.77%2.45cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.551%
Kelly -0.939%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.35%40.73%40.68%43.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.302.302.4246.08%43.40%43.48%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -1.09%E -0.652%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -10.71%E -4.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-22 08:55
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.27%E -1.38%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.78%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 08:50
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.27%E -1.38%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -5.00%E -2.15%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 08:50
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.05%E -2.50%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.33%E -0.551%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 08:40
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.05%E -2.50%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.33%E -0.551%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 08:40
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.05%E -2.50%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 18:09
William Hill1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.64%E -2.88%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.96%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 05:35
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.64%E -2.88%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.19%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 08:45
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.64%E -2.88%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:40
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.64%E -2.88%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 08:55
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.64%E -2.88%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 08:48
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.23%E -3.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.19%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 08:50
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.23%E -3.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.19%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 08:49
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.23%E -3.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.19%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.23%E -3.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 08:40
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.23%E -3.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 08:40
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.23%E -3.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 08:40
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.23%E -3.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 08:40
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.23%E -3.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 08:40
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.23%E -3.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 08:39
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -7.01%E -4.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.33%E -0.551%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 08:55
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -7.01%E -4.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -3.78%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 08:49
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.01%E -4.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.19%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 08:45
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.01%E -4.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 08:45
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.01%E -4.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 08:50
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.01%E -4.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 03:50
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.01%E -4.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 08:55
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.01%E -4.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 03:50
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.01%E -4.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 03:50
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.01%E -4.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.26%E -3.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 23:44
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.60%E -4.87%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.19%E -1.78%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 08:45
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 08:55
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 08:45
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.38%E -6.13%K -17.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 08:50
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -10.57%E -7.00%K -20.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.30%E -4.68%K -8.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-22 08:50
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.29%EV -11.75%E -7.89%K -23.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.71%EV -11.53%E -5.31%K -9.85%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-22 08:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.