默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yomiuri Giants v Chunichi Dragons

开赛时间： 2026-09-08 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

57%

43%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yomiuri Giants (主队)

预测 56.68%1.76公平赔率

EV -3.64%

优势 -2.14%

Kelly -5.20%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.70

博彩公司预测分布

55.11%56.83%56.70%59.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.571.661.671.7063.69%60.37%59.88%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chunichi Dragons (客队)

预测 43.32%2.31公平赔率

EV +2.23%

优势 +0.943%

Kelly +1.64%

增长率 +0.036%

假设最高赔率为 2.36

博彩公司预测分布

41.00%43.17%43.30%44.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.032.172.152.3649.26%46.03%46.51%42.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yomiuri Giants (主队)：56.68%；Chunichi Dragons (客队)：43.32%。对于“Chunichi Dragons (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.31。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.36，对应+2.23%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -7.04%E -4.29%K -11.00%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +2.23%E +0.943%K +1.64%G +0.036%	3.3%	2026-09-08 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -7.04%E -4.29%K -11.00%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +2.23%E +0.943%K +1.64%G +0.036%	3.3%	2026-09-08 08:55
Pinnacle🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -4.20%E -2.49%K -6.09%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.24%E -0.544%K -0.968%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-08 08:20
1xBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.64%E -2.14%K -5.20%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.41%E -1.53%K -2.77%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-08 08:05
FanDuel🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.34%E -3.20%K -7.97%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.84%E -1.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-08 08:30
Betsson🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-08 05:39
NordicBet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-08 05:40
Coolbet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-08 08:10
DraftKings🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.34%E -3.20%K -7.97%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-08 08:35
Bovada🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.96%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-08 05:35
888sport🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.74%E -5.43%K -14.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-08 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.74%E -5.43%K -14.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-08 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.74%E -5.43%K -14.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-08 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.31%E -5.82%K -15.51%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-08 08:34
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.90%E -3.56%K -8.95%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.14%E -2.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-08 08:40
Caesars🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.20%E -2.49%K -6.09%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.87%E -3.20%K -5.97%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-07 12:19
BetUS🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.20%E -2.49%K -6.09%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.87%E -3.20%K -5.97%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-08 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.87%E -3.20%K -5.97%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-07 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.87%E -3.20%K -5.97%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-07 22:04
BetRivers🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.87%E -3.20%K -5.97%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-07 22:04
Unibet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.87%E -3.20%K -5.97%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-07 22:04
PMU (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.87%E -3.20%K -5.97%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-07 22:04
Bally Bet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.77%E -2.84%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.87%E -3.20%K -5.97%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-07 22:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.34%E -3.20%K -7.97%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.87%E -3.20%K -5.97%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-08 05:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.34%E -3.20%K -7.97%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.87%E -3.20%K -5.97%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-07 11:25
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.34%E -3.20%K -7.97%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.87%E -3.20%K -5.97%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-08 05:35
ReBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.96%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.87%E -3.20%K -5.97%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-08 08:29
Fliff🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.47%E -3.92%K -9.96%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.87%E -3.20%K -5.97%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-08 05:35
Betway🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.18%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.87%E -3.20%K -5.97%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-08 08:30
BetMGM🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.20%E -2.49%K -6.09%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.04%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-07 22:20
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.17%E -5.04%K -13.18%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.04%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-09-08 08:50
Coral🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.34%E -3.20%K -7.97%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-09-07 22:18
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 56.32%EV -9.87%E -6.21%K -16.73%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-09-08 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.39%EV -11.01%E -7.01%K -19.31%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.95%K -11.72%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-09-08 08:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。