默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Yomiuri Giants

开赛时间： 2026-08-18 08:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

54%

46%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 54.12%1.85公平赔率

EV -3.12%

优势 -1.74%

Kelly -3.95%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.79

博彩公司预测分布

52.39%54.20%54.13%56.27%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.651.741.751.7960.61%57.47%57.14%55.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yomiuri Giants (客队)

预测 45.88%2.18公平赔率

EV +0.929%

优势 +0.422%

Kelly +0.774%

增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布

43.73%45.80%45.87%47.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.912.052.052.2052.36%48.76%48.78%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：54.12%；Yomiuri Giants (客队)：45.88%。对于“Yomiuri Giants (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.18。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.20，对应+0.929%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.45%E -4.36%K -10.49%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.929%E +0.422%K +0.774%G +0.007%	3.9%	2026-08-18 08:20
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.45%E -4.36%K -10.49%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.929%E +0.422%K +0.774%G +0.007%	3.9%	2026-08-18 08:20
Pinnacle🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -3.12%E -1.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -2.28%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-18 08:20
1xBet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.66%E -2.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-18 08:15
Fanatics🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-18 08:24
DraftKings🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.83%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-18 08:34
BetMGM🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.53%E -5.05%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-17 23:39
FanDuel🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.58%E -2.20%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-18 08:24
Coolbet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.58%E -2.20%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-18 07:44
PMU (FR)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.49%E -2.67%K -5.18%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-18 08:10
Unibet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.49%E -2.67%K -5.18%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-18 08:10
BetRivers🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.49%E -2.67%K -5.18%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-18 08:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.49%E -2.67%K -5.18%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-18 08:09
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.49%E -2.67%K -5.18%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-18 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.49%E -2.67%K -5.18%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-18 08:10
NordicBet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.66%E -2.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-17 12:10
Betsson🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.66%E -2.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-17 12:19
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-18 08:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.83%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-18 08:25
ReBet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.83%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-18 08:24
theScore Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.83%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-18 08:24
Caesars🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.83%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-17 12:54
BoyleSports🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-18 08:24
Coral🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.61%E -5.76%K -14.35%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-17 23:39
Bovada🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.25%E -4.12%K -8.25%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-18 07:18
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.25%E -4.12%K -8.25%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-17 12:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.25%E -4.12%K -8.25%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-17 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.25%E -4.12%K -8.25%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-17 12:55
Betway🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.45%E -4.36%K -10.49%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.25%E -4.12%K -8.25%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-18 08:24
BetUS🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -3.12%E -1.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -9.62%E -4.88%K -9.92%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-18 08:39
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.54%E -5.41%K -11.10%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-18 08:24
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -9.07%E -5.40%K -13.34%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.54%E -5.41%K -11.10%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-08-18 08:35
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 53.65%EV -10.70%E -6.48%K -16.46%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -12.38%E -6.48%K -13.60%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-18 08:24

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。