默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-09-09 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

57%

43%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 56.97%1.76公平赔率

EV -3.16%

优势 -1.86%

Kelly -4.51%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.70

博彩公司预测分布

55.87%57.01%56.94%58.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.571.651.661.7063.69%60.56%60.24%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 43.03%2.32公平赔率

EV -1.45%

优势 -0.634%

Kelly -1.13%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.29

博彩公司预测分布

41.64%42.99%43.06%44.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.022.182.182.2949.50%45.83%45.87%43.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：56.97%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：43.03%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.32。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.29，期望值为-1.45%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
1xBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.03%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-09 08:55
Pinnacle🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -1.45%E -0.634%K -1.13%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-09-09 08:45
Caesars🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-08 13:09
BetUS🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -3.73%E -2.21%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -7.91%E -3.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-09 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.82%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-09 08:44
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.82%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-09 08:45
NordicBet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-09 04:44
Betsson🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-09 04:44
Coolbet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-09 04:44
FanDuel🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.87%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.47%E -2.01%K -3.66%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-08 13:10
DraftKings🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-09 08:30
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.87%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-08 13:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.87%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-08 13:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.87%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-08 13:25
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.44%E -3.27%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-08 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.44%E -3.27%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-09 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.44%E -3.27%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-09 08:54
Unibet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.44%E -3.27%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-09 08:54
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.44%E -3.27%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-09 08:54
BetRivers🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.44%E -3.27%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-09 08:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.44%E -3.27%K -8.24%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-09 08:53
Bovada🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-09 04:38
BetMGM🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-08 22:44
ReBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-09 08:04
Betway🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-08 18:05
888sport🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.15%K -13.58%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-09 08:44
888sport (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.15%K -13.58%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-09 08:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.15%K -13.58%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-09 08:45
Coral🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.28%E -5.15%K -13.58%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-09-08 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.85%E -5.53%K -14.76%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-09 08:44
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.85%E -5.53%K -14.76%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.78%E -5.75%K -11.22%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-09-09 08:50
Fanatics🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.56%E -6.73%K -18.53%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-09-09 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.27%EV -10.56%E -6.73%K -18.53%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 43.73%EV -13.07%E -6.47%K -12.82%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-09-09 08:32

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。