默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-05-24 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

61%

39%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 60.72%1.65公平赔率

EV -2.24%

优势 -1.39%

Kelly -3.68%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.61

博彩公司预测分布

59.13%60.78%60.65%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.501.561.561.6166.67%64.28%63.90%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 39.28%2.55公平赔率

EV +1.34%

优势 +0.521%

Kelly +0.851%

增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 2.58

博彩公司预测分布

37.50%39.22%39.35%40.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.252.412.382.5844.44%41.57%42.02%38.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：60.72%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：39.28%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.55。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.58，对应+1.34%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.43%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV +1.34%E +0.521%K +0.851%G +0.011%	2.9%	2026-05-24 04:50
DraftKings🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.166%E +0.065%K +0.107%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-24 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -1.41%E -0.560%K -0.930%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-05-24 04:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -1.41%E -0.560%K -0.930%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-05-24 04:40
BetUS🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.43%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.80%E -0.719%K -1.20%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-24 04:50
NordicBet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.80%E -0.719%K -1.20%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-24 04:50
Betsson🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.80%E -0.719%K -1.20%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-24 04:50
Bovada🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.80%E -0.719%K -1.20%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-24 04:50
1xBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.19%E -0.880%K -1.47%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-05-24 04:50
Fanatics🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.46%E -2.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.76%E -1.54%K -2.59%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-24 03:49
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.76%E -1.54%K -2.59%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-24 04:40
FanDuel🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-24 03:50
Coolbet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-24 04:49
Everygame🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-24 04:30
Coral🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-24 04:40
William Hill🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.24%E -1.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -6.51%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-24 04:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-24 03:50
888sport🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.51%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-24 04:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.51%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-24 04:50
888sport (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.51%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-24 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.90%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-24 03:48
Unibet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-24 04:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-24 03:50
PMU (FR)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-24 04:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-24 04:00
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-24 04:10
BetRivers🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-24 04:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-24 04:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-24 03:50
ReBet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-24 04:10
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.82%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-24 03:50
Caesars🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.46%E -2.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-23 15:18
Betway🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.43%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-24 03:50
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -8.31%E -5.51%K -16.30%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.62%E -5.16%K -9.29%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-05-24 04:50

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。