默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-09-08 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

67%

33%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 67.20%1.49公平赔率

EV -3.23%

优势 -2.24%

Kelly -7.34%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.44

博彩公司预测分布

65.85%67.19%67.28%69.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.331.401.411.4475.19%71.40%70.92%69.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 32.80%3.05公平赔率

EV -0.621%

优势 -0.205%

Kelly -0.306%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.03

博彩公司预测分布

30.72%32.81%32.72%34.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.602.872.883.0338.46%34.84%34.72%33.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：67.20%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：32.80%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.05。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.03，期望值为-0.621%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -3.23%E -2.24%K -7.34%G +0.000%	2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -2.92%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-08 08:35
1xBet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-08 08:55
BetUS🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-08 08:55
Fanatics🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.57%E -3.22%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-08 08:05
DraftKings🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.57%E -3.22%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-08 08:48
Betsson🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.57%E -3.22%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-07 11:20
NordicBet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.57%E -3.22%K -10.89%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-07 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -5.25%E -3.72%K -12.79%G +0.000%	3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -0.621%E -0.205%K -0.306%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-08 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -5.25%E -3.72%K -12.79%G +0.000%	3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -0.621%E -0.205%K -0.306%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-08 08:55
Coolbet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.25%E -3.72%K -12.79%G +0.000%	2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -3.90%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-08 08:00
BetRivers🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -5.25%E -3.72%K -12.79%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-08 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -5.25%E -3.72%K -12.79%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-08 08:55
Unibet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -5.25%E -3.72%K -12.79%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-08 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -5.25%E -3.72%K -12.79%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-08 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -5.25%E -3.72%K -12.79%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-08 08:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -5.25%E -3.72%K -12.79%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-08 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.06%EV -5.25%E -3.72%K -12.79%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 32.94%EV -5.87%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-08 08:55
FanDuel🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.79%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -2.26%E -0.759%K -1.14%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-08 07:45
BoyleSports🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.79%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-08 08:50
ReBet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.79%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.53%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-08 08:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.79%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.16%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-08 06:44
theScore Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.79%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.80%E -3.57%K -5.60%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-08 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.79%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.80%E -3.57%K -5.60%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-08 07:59
888sport🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.79%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.80%E -3.57%K -5.60%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-08 07:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.79%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.80%E -3.57%K -5.60%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-08 07:59
Betway🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.79%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.80%E -3.57%K -5.60%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-08 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.92%E -4.23%K -14.79%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.44%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-08 07:25
Caesars🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.26%E -5.26%K -19.11%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-07 11:23
Bovada🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.26%E -5.26%K -19.11%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-08 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -8.61%E -6.33%K -23.90%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 33.92%EV -13.08%E -4.94%K -7.93%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-09-08 08:50
BetMGM🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.28%E -6.87%K -26.51%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -1.60%E -0.535%K -0.802%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-07 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 65.99%EV -9.95%E -7.43%K -29.26%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 34.01%EV -14.72%E -5.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-09-08 08:34
Coral🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.62%E -7.99%K -32.19%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -1.60%E -0.535%K -0.802%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-07 22:18

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。