默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间： 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

61%

39%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 60.55%1.65公平赔率

EV -1.91%

优势 -1.18%

Kelly -3.07%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布

59.14%60.55%60.61%61.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.481.551.531.6267.57%64.38%65.36%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 39.45%2.53公平赔率

EV -2.17%

优势 -0.875%

Kelly -1.47%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.48

博彩公司预测分布

38.15%39.45%39.39%40.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.192.392.402.4845.66%41.79%41.67%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：60.55%；Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)：39.45%。对于“Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.65。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.62，期望值为-1.91%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.80%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-09 08:20
LowVig.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.80%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-09 08:20
1xBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -5.72%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-09 08:05
Pinnacle🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.51%E -1.56%K -4.12%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.75%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-09 08:15
BetUS🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.51%E -1.56%K -4.12%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.09%E -3.47%K -6.08%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-09 08:25
NordicBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.12%E -1.95%K -5.19%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-09 08:24
Betsson🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.12%E -1.95%K -5.19%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-09 08:24
William Hill🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.93%E -3.14%K -8.65%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.17%E -0.875%K -1.47%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-08 13:55
FanDuel🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.93%E -3.14%K -8.65%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.54%E -1.87%K -3.19%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-09 08:10
Coolbet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.93%E -3.14%K -8.65%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.54%E -1.87%K -3.19%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-09 08:14
DraftKings🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.93%E -3.14%K -8.65%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.80%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-09 08:14
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.93%E -3.14%K -8.65%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.11%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-09 08:10
Bovada🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.93%E -3.14%K -8.65%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-09 08:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.54%E -3.55%K -9.89%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.80%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-08 14:20
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.54%E -3.55%K -9.89%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.11%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-09 08:14
ReBet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.54%E -3.55%K -9.89%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-09 08:09
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -2.17%E -0.875%K -1.47%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-09 08:35
Unibet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -2.17%E -0.875%K -1.47%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-09 08:35
BetRivers🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -2.17%E -0.875%K -1.47%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-09 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -2.17%E -0.875%K -1.47%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-09 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -2.17%E -0.875%K -1.47%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-09 08:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -2.17%E -0.875%K -1.47%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-09 08:35
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.35%E -1.37%K -2.31%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-09 01:49
Caesars🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.80%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-08 13:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.80%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-09 08:55
888sport🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.11%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-08 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.11%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-08 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.11%E -2.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-08 13:49
Betway🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-08 18:14
Fanatics🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.88%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.27%E -4.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-09 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.96%E -5.24%K -15.31%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.30%E -3.11%K -5.41%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-09 08:05
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -8.57%E -5.67%K -16.80%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.24%E -5.00%K -8.99%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-08-09 08:45
Coral🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.17%E -6.11%K -18.34%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.33%E -2.22%K -3.80%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-09 01:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 59.67%EV -10.38%E -7.02%K -21.63%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 40.33%EV -13.61%E -6.21%K -11.44%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-08-09 08:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。