默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hanshin Tigers

开赛时间： 2026-08-21 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

56%

44%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 55.83%1.79公平赔率

EV -3.42%

优势 -1.98%

Kelly -4.69%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.73

博彩公司预测分布

54.74%55.88%55.70%57.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.601.691.681.7362.50%59.34%59.52%57.80%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hanshin Tigers (客队)

预测 44.17%2.26公平赔率

EV -2.38%

优势 -1.08%

Kelly -1.96%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.21

博彩公司预测分布

42.97%44.12%44.30%45.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.992.132.142.2150.25%46.96%46.73%45.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：55.83%；Hanshin Tigers (客队)：44.17%。对于“Hanshin Tigers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.26。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.21，期望值为-2.38%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.96%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-21 08:45
1xBet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.70%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-21 08:34
NordicBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.98%E -2.31%K -5.53%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-20 16:09
Betsson🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.98%E -2.31%K -5.53%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-20 16:09
BetUS🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.98%E -2.31%K -5.53%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.12%E -3.90%K -7.52%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-21 08:49
Fanatics🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.54%E -2.65%K -6.39%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-21 08:33
LowVig.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.54%E -2.65%K -6.39%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-20 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.54%E -2.65%K -6.39%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-20 14:03
Coolbet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.54%E -2.65%K -6.39%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-20 12:59
DraftKings🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.54%E -2.65%K -6.39%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-20 14:44
theScore Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.54%E -2.65%K -6.39%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-21 08:34
FanDuel🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.65%E -3.35%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.70%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-21 08:34
Caesars🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.65%E -3.35%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-20 12:59
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.65%E -3.35%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-21 08:40
Bovada🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.65%E -3.35%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-20 15:10
BetMGM🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.65%E -3.35%K -8.19%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-20 21:14
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-21 08:54
PMU (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-21 08:55
Unibet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-21 08:54
BetRivers🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-21 08:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-21 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-21 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-21 08:34
888sport🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-20 12:59
ReBet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-21 08:34
888sport (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-20 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-20 12:59
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-20 13:04
Betway🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-21 08:34
Coral🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-20 21:13
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-21 08:34
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-08-21 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 55.43%EV -10.68%E -6.67%K -17.80%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 44.57%EV -12.09%E -6.08%K -12.22%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-08-21 08:33

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。