默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hanshin Tigers

开赛时间： 2026-08-23 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

43%

57%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 43.31%2.31公平赔率

EV +2.20%

优势 +0.933%

Kelly +1.62%

增长率 +0.036%

假设最高赔率为 2.36

博彩公司预测分布

41.00%43.31%43.23%44.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.022.162.152.3649.50%46.21%46.51%42.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hanshin Tigers (客队)

预测 56.69%1.76公平赔率

EV -3.05%

优势 -1.79%

Kelly -4.30%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布

55.12%56.69%56.77%59.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.571.671.671.7163.69%59.98%59.88%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：43.31%；Hanshin Tigers (客队)：56.69%。对于“Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.31。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.36，对应+2.20%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +2.20%E +0.933%K +1.62%G +0.036%	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-23 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +2.20%E +0.933%K +1.62%G +0.036%	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-23 08:55
Pinnacle🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.13%E -0.942%K -1.69%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-23 08:30
Fanatics🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-23 07:04
FanDuel🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.86%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-23 07:05
1xBet🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -4.29%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.05%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-23 08:54
NordicBet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-23 06:49
Betsson🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-23 06:50
DraftKings🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-23 08:30
Bovada🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-23 06:48
BetMGM🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-23 05:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.48%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-23 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.59%E -2.57%K -4.74%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.92%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-23 07:09
Coolbet🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.03%E -2.78%K -5.15%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-23 07:00
theScore Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-23 03:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-23 03:19
BoyleSports🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-23 03:20
ReBet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-23 08:05
Betway🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.16%E -5.03%K -13.15%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-23 07:05
Coral🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.72%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-23 05:50
BetUS🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.19%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-23 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.19%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-23 08:30
BetRivers🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.19%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-23 08:30
Unibet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.19%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-23 08:30
PMU (FR)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.19%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-23 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.19%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-23 08:30
Bally Bet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.19%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-23 08:30
Caesars🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.06%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.05%E -1.79%K -4.30%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-22 12:38
888sport🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.06%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-22 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.06%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-22 14:34
888sport (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.06%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-22 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.22%E -5.47%K -10.69%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.48%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-08-23 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 43.73%EV -12.52%E -6.20%K -12.28%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.27%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.28%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-08-23 08:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。