默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hanshin Tigers

开赛时间： 2026-08-04 08:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

44%

56%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 44.38%2.25公平赔率

EV +1.18%

优势 +0.519%

Kelly +0.925%

增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 2.28

博彩公司预测分布

42.11%44.18%44.52%49.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.882.122.122.2853.19%47.07%47.17%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hanshin Tigers (客队)

预测 55.62%1.80公平赔率

EV +3.46%

优势 +1.86%

Kelly +4.02%

增长率 +0.139%

假设最高赔率为 1.86

博彩公司预测分布

50.27%55.82%55.48%57.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.601.691.711.8662.50%59.04%58.65%53.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：44.38%；Hanshin Tigers (客队)：55.62%。对于“Hanshin Tigers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.80。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.86，对应+3.46%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
BetUS	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -16.57%E -8.81%K -18.83%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV +3.46%E +1.86%K +4.02%G +0.139%	7.0%	2026-08-04 08:40
DraftKings	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.02%E -4.40%K -8.59%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.118%E +0.066%K +0.147%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-04 08:40
Pinnacle	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -0.995%E -0.559%K -1.28%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-04 08:40
1xBet	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -5.47%E -2.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-04 08:24
LowVig.ag	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -5.47%E -2.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.66%E -1.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-04 08:35
BetOnline.ag	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -5.47%E -2.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.66%E -1.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-04 08:34
Bovada	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.02%E -4.40%K -8.59%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-04 08:18
NordicBet	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 08:30
Betsson	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 08:29
BetRivers	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-04 08:40
Unibet (SE)	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-04 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-04 08:40
PMU (FR)	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-04 08:40
Unibet	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-04 08:40
Bally Bet	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-04 08:39
Hard Rock Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-04 08:25
theScore Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-04 08:25
FanDuel	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.14%E -1.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 08:25
MyBookie.ag	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -6.36%E -3.01%K -5.73%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-04 08:28
ReBet	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-04 08:25
Betway	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.02%E -4.40%K -8.59%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-04 08:25
Caesars	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-04 08:39
BoyleSports	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-04 08:25
William Hill	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +1.18%E +0.519%K +0.925%G +0.011%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -7.67%E -4.62%K -11.62%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-04 07:54
Coolbet	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.03%E -0.464%K -0.841%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.67%E -4.62%K -11.62%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 08:34
BetMGM	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.147%E -0.066%K -0.118%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.23%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 07:33
Fanatics	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.02%E -4.40%K -8.59%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.23%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-04 08:34
Unibet (FR)	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.24%E -5.62%K -11.24%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.78%E -5.35%K -13.72%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-08-04 08:34
888sport	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 08:20
Mr Green (SE)	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 08:19
888sport (SE)	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 08:19
Coral	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 07:35
Betclic (FR)	1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -12.57%E -6.38%K -12.96%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.03%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-08-04 08:23
Tipico (DE)	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.01%E -6.88%K -18.34%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-04 08:15

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。