默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Chunichi Dragons

开赛时间： 2026-05-12 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

60%

40%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 59.63%1.68公平赔率

EV +0.773%

优势 +0.457%

Kelly +1.12%

增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 1.69

博彩公司预测分布

55.99%59.23%59.62%60.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.521.591.581.6965.79%62.91%63.09%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chunichi Dragons (客队)

预测 40.37%2.48公平赔率

EV -1.09%

优势 -0.445%

Kelly -0.752%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布

39.28%40.77%40.38%44.01%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.152.312.302.4546.51%43.36%43.48%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：59.63%；Chunichi Dragons (客队)：40.37%。对于“Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.68。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.69，对应+0.773%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Caesars🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +0.773%E +0.457%K +1.12%G +0.009%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -13.20%E -6.14%K -11.48%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-11 13:07
William Hill🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -1.02%E -0.612%K -1.54%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -7.95%E -3.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-12 07:08
BetMGM🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -1.61%E -0.977%K -2.48%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -11.18%E -5.08%K -9.32%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-11 22:19
1xBet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -2.80%E -1.72%K -4.45%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-05-12 08:52
LowVig.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.11%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-12 08:30
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.11%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-12 08:29
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.40%E -2.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.11%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-12 08:35
Pinnacle🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.09%E -0.445%K -0.752%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-05-12 08:39
888sport (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.18%E -5.08%K -9.32%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-12 07:44
888sport🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.18%E -5.08%K -9.32%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-12 07:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.18%E -5.08%K -9.32%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-12 07:44
Coral🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -4.00%E -2.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.20%E -6.14%K -11.48%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-05-11 22:18
BetUS🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.59%E -2.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.32%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-12 08:54
FanDuel🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.92%E -1.65%K -2.84%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-12 08:49
DraftKings🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-12 08:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.19%E -3.26%K -8.80%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-12 08:35
Betsson🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.11%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-12 08:55
NordicBet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.79%E -3.66%K -9.98%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.11%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-12 08:54
Bovada🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-12 08:25
theScore Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-12 08:34
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-12 08:49
ReBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.38%E -4.07%K -11.20%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-12 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-12 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-12 08:55
Unibet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-12 08:54
PMU (FR)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-12 08:54
BetRivers🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-12 08:54
Bally Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-12 08:55
Betway🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.98%E -4.47%K -12.46%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-12 08:49
Everygame🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.58%E -4.89%K -13.77%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.15%E -3.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-12 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -8.77%E -5.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -11.18%E -5.08%K -9.32%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-05-12 08:48
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.36%E -6.16%K -18.01%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.13%E -2.18%K -3.80%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-12 08:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。