默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Chunichi Dragons

开赛时间： 2026-08-28 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

56%

44%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 56.17%1.78公平赔率

EV -2.26%

优势 -1.30%

Kelly -3.05%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.74

博彩公司预测分布

54.33%56.18%56.28%57.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.571.681.691.7463.69%59.38%59.17%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chunichi Dragons (客队)

预测 43.83%2.28公平赔率

EV +0.365%

优势 +0.160%

Kelly +0.283%

增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.29

博彩公司预测分布

42.11%43.82%43.72%45.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.022.132.152.2949.50%46.94%46.51%43.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：56.17%；Chunichi Dragons (客队)：43.83%。对于“Chunichi Dragons (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.28。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.29，对应+0.365%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV +0.365%E +0.160%K +0.283%G +0.001%	2.8%	2026-08-28 08:30
FanDuel🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.70%E -1.22%K -2.22%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-28 08:40
1xBet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -3.14%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-28 08:35
DraftKings🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-28 08:30
Bovada🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.32%E -4.43%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-28 08:25
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.12%E -6.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-28 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.75%E -4.07%K -10.23%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.46%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-28 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.26%E -1.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.33%E -2.47%K -4.60%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-28 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.26%E -1.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.33%E -2.47%K -4.60%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-28 08:30
Coolbet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-28 08:45
Betsson🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-28 08:45
NordicBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-28 08:45
BetUS🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-28 08:25
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 08:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 08:40
ReBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.32%E -4.43%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-28 08:40
Betway🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.00%E -5.56%K -14.52%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-28 08:40
Caesars🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-27 16:18
BetMGM🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-28 01:00
888sport🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-27 16:19
888sport (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-27 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-27 16:19
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.00%E -5.56%K -14.52%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-28 08:50
BetRivers🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.26%E -1.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -9.28%E -4.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-28 08:25
PMU (FR)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.26%E -1.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -9.28%E -4.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-28 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.26%E -1.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -9.28%E -4.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-28 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.26%E -1.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -9.28%E -4.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-28 08:25
Unibet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.26%E -1.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -9.28%E -4.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-28 08:25
Bally Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.26%E -1.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -9.28%E -4.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-28 08:25
Coral🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.15%E -4.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-28 00:59
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -10.12%E -6.33%K -16.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.15%E -4.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-08-28 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.27%EV -11.81%E -7.52%K -20.72%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 43.73%EV -11.47%E -5.68%K -11.24%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-08-28 08:39

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。