默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Chunichi Dragons

开赛时间： 2026-08-29 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

59%

41%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 59.04%1.69公平赔率

EV -2.58%

优势 -1.57%

Kelly -3.98%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布

58.14%59.01%58.90%59.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.521.601.601.6565.79%62.55%62.50%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chunichi Dragons (客队)

预测 40.96%2.44公平赔率

EV -1.29%

优势 -0.534%

Kelly -0.912%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.41

博彩公司预测分布

40.05%40.99%41.10%41.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.122.292.302.4147.17%43.71%43.48%41.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：59.04%；Chunichi Dragons (客队)：40.96%。对于“Chunichi Dragons (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.44。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.41，期望值为-1.29%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Fanatics🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.58%E -1.57%K -3.98%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-29 08:45
LowVig.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.58%E -1.57%K -3.98%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-28 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.58%E -1.57%K -3.98%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-28 14:35
1xBet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.17%E -1.94%K -4.96%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-29 08:35
Pinnacle🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -1.29%E -0.534%K -0.912%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-29 08:40
Coolbet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-29 08:45
BetUS🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-29 08:29
Caesars🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-28 14:35
BetRivers🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-29 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-29 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-29 08:55
Unibet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-29 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-29 08:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-29 08:55
DraftKings🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-29 08:40
BetMGM🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-29 08:38
FanDuel🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.33%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-29 08:45
NordicBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-29 08:45
Betsson🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-29 08:45
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-29 08:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-29 08:45
ReBet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-29 08:45
Bovada🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-29 08:29
theScore Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-29 08:45
888sport🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-29 08:45
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-29 08:45
888sport (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-29 08:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-29 08:45
Betway🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-29 08:45
Coral🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-29 08:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.49%E -5.48%K -15.43%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-29 08:30
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.08%E -5.90%K -16.81%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.94%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-08-29 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 58.24%EV -10.26%E -6.75%K -19.73%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 41.76%EV -13.16%E -6.21%K -11.75%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-29 08:43

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。