默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

开赛时间： 2026-08-15 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

40%

60%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 40.26%2.48公平赔率

EV -0.553%

优势 -0.224%

Kelly -0.376%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.47

博彩公司预测分布

38.30%40.39%40.16%43.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.182.322.332.4745.87%43.03%42.92%40.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)

预测 59.74%1.67公平赔率

EV +0.360%

优势 +0.214%

Kelly +0.529%

增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 1.68

博彩公司预测分布

56.85%59.61%59.84%61.70%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.491.581.581.6867.11%63.16%63.29%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)：40.26%；Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)：59.74%。对于“Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.67。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.68，对应+0.360%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
1xBet🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -8.61%E -3.79%K -6.78%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV +0.360%E +0.214%K +0.529%G +0.002%	3.6%	2026-08-15 07:34
Caesars🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.42%E -5.19%K -9.52%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.237%E -0.142%K -0.354%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 08:46
LowVig.ag🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.43%E -0.868%K -2.20%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-15 08:39
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.43%E -0.868%K -2.20%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-15 08:39
Coolbet🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.19%E -2.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-15 08:54
BetMGM🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-15 08:49
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.42%E -5.19%K -9.52%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.82%E -2.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-15 08:05
Pinnacle🎯	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -0.553%E -0.224%K -0.376%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-15 08:39
BetUS🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.58%E -1.93%K -3.34%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-15 08:34
PMU (FR)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 08:54
BetRivers🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 08:54
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 08:54
Unibet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 08:54
Bally Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.42%E -2.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 08:54
DraftKings🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.37%E -1.40%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.02%E -3.15%K -8.50%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-15 08:44
Betsson🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.37%E -1.40%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.68%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-15 08:49
NordicBet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.37%E -1.40%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.68%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-15 08:49
FanDuel🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.57%E -1.06%K -1.81%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.90%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-15 08:49
BoyleSports🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.18%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.90%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-15 08:49
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.58%E -1.93%K -3.34%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.90%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-15 08:53
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.90%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-15 08:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.41%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.90%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-15 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.41%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.90%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-15 08:54
Coral🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.41%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.21%E -3.96%K -10.90%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-15 08:49
theScore Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-15 08:50
ReBet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-15 08:49
Betway🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.69%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.81%E -4.36%K -12.16%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-15 08:44
Bovada🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.37%E -1.40%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.00%E -5.20%K -14.82%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-15 08:32
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.20%E -6.05%K -17.69%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-15 08:45
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.41%E -4.18%K -7.53%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -9.80%E -6.49%K -19.21%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-08-15 08:49
Fanatics🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -3.37%E -1.40%K -2.41%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -10.99%E -7.38%K -22.43%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-15 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 40.60%EV -12.23%E -5.61%K -10.36%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 59.40%EV -10.99%E -7.38%K -22.43%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-15 08:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。