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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间： 2026-09-15 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 48.95%2.04公平赔率
EV +0.356%
优势 +0.174%
Kelly +0.340%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
46.09%49.06%48.93%52.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.781.911.912.0556.18%52.25%52.36%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 51.05%1.96公平赔率
EV -0.461%
优势 -0.236%
Kelly -0.485%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.95

博彩公司预测分布
48.00%50.94%51.07%53.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.841.851.9558.82%54.33%54.05%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)：48.95%；Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)：51.05%。 对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.04。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.05，对应+0.356%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.356%E +0.174%K +0.340%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.356%E +0.174%K +0.340%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 08:55
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -2.09%E -1.05%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.71%E -7.43%K -17.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 08:55
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-15 08:35
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-15 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 08:50
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 08:55
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 08:40
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 08:53
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 08:55
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 08:54
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 08:55
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 08:55
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 08:55
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 08:55
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 08:40
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.43%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.43%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 08:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.43%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 08:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -11.39%E -6.29%K -14.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -11.69%E -6.76%K -16.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 08:53
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.88%E -6.60%K -14.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -0.461%E -0.236%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 14:43
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -11.88%E -6.60%K -14.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.85%EV -12.86%E -7.23%K -16.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.15%EV -13.22%E -7.78%K -18.89%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-15 08:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。