默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hanshin Tigers

开赛时间： 2026-08-02 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

41%

59%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 40.93%2.44公平赔率

EV -1.77%

优势 -0.736%

Kelly -1.26%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布

39.28%41.06%40.99%42.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.122.272.292.4047.17%44.07%43.67%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hanshin Tigers (客队)

预测 59.07%1.69公平赔率

EV -2.54%

优势 -1.54%

Kelly -3.90%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布

57.14%58.94%59.01%60.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.521.601.601.6565.79%62.33%62.31%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)：40.93%；Hanshin Tigers (客队)：59.07%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.44。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.40，期望值为-1.77%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Fanatics🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.77%E -0.736%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.31%E -2.66%K -6.95%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-02 06:54
FanDuel🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.49%E -3.43%K -9.15%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-02 06:55
LowVig.ag🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-01 15:24
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-01 15:25
1xBet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.13%E -1.91%K -4.88%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-02 08:25
DraftKings🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-02 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.21%E -6.72%K -19.64%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-02 06:50
William Hill🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.22%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.72%E -2.28%K -5.90%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-01 14:19
NordicBet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.31%E -2.66%K -6.95%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-01 14:04
Betsson🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.31%E -2.66%K -6.95%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-01 14:05
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.49%E -3.43%K -9.15%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-02 06:59
Caesars🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.08%E -3.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-01 14:03
ReBet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.08%E -3.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-02 08:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.08%E -3.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-02 06:55
Bovada🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.08%E -3.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-02 08:34
theScore Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-02 06:50
BoyleSports🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-02 06:55
BetUS🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.68%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.72%E -2.28%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-02 08:34
Fliff🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.08%E -3.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-01 14:04
888sport🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-01 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-01 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-01 14:05
Betway🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-01 18:05
Everygame🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.51%K -6.33%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.74%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-01 20:33
BetRivers🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-02 08:29
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-02 08:29
PMU (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-02 08:30
Bally Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-02 08:30
Unibet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-02 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-02 08:29
BetMGM🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-01 22:55
Coral🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -12.00%E -5.58%K -10.43%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-01 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.00%E -5.58%K -10.43%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.03%E -5.87%K -16.73%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-08-02 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 41.76%EV -13.23%E -6.24%K -11.81%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 58.24%EV -10.21%E -6.72%K -19.64%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-02 08:33

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。